摩根大通：美国_持续申领失业金人数仍预示着失业风险

J P M O R G A N North America Economic Research 03 July 2025 US: Continuing claims still signal unemployment risk Jobless claims affirm a labor market in which layoffs remain low but hiring rates likely continue to weaken. Initial jobless claims fell to 233k in the week ending June 21 from 237k in the previous week. Claims rose through early June in what appears to be residual seasonality and have since come down, with claims now slightly lower than a year earlier. Consequently, initial claims in isolation ...