摩根士丹利：Investor Presentation _ 日本制药行业

Investment Rating - Industry View: In-Line [3] - Top Pick: Daiichi Sankyo [5] - Other Recommendations: Overweight (OW) for Takeda and Chugai; Mid Cap OW for Kaken [5][9] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry in Japan is currently rated as In-Line, indicating a stable outlook with potential for growth [3] - Daiichi Sankyo is highlighted as a top investment opportunity, with a price target of ¥4,750, reflecting a significant upside from its current price of ¥3,319 [7] - Takeda and Chugai are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [5][9] Valuation and Performance - Takeda's market cap is ¥6,991 billion with an estimated EPS growth from ¥491.2 in 2024 to ¥706.0 in 2029, indicating a P/E ratio decreasing from 8.9x to 6.2x over the same period [7] - Daiichi Sankyo's market cap is ¥6,287 billion, with an EPS forecast increasing from ¥147.6 in 2024 to ¥291.7 in 2029, showing a P/E ratio decline from 22.5x to 11.4x [7] - Chugai's market cap stands at ¥12,151 billion, with EPS expected to grow from ¥241.3 in 2024 to ¥372.2 in 2029, and a P/E ratio decreasing from 30.0x to 19.4x [7] Company Summaries - Daiichi Sankyo: Strong growth potential with a focus on innovative therapies [6] - Takeda Pharmaceutical: Diversified portfolio with robust pipeline [6] - Chugai Pharmaceutical: Strong R&D capabilities and market presence [6] - Kaken Pharmaceutical: Mid-cap with promising growth prospects [6]