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先锋期货期权日报-20250709
Xian Feng Qi Huo·2025-07-09 09:04
  1. Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Option Daily Report - Date: July 9, 2025 [1] 2. Option Volatility Ranking 2.1 Ranking by Different Volatility Metrics - The report presents rankings of various option targets based on three volatility metrics: at-the-money option implied volatility, 30-day historical volatility of the target, and the target's daily true range. For example, ps2509 ranks 1st in at-the-money option implied volatility with a value of 2.7%, and 2nd in 30-day historical volatility with a value of 2.6%, and 1st in daily true range with a value of 4.2% [3]. 2.2 Significance of Volatility Metrics - At-the-money option implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of the future volatility of the variety. A higher value indicates a greater likelihood of significant market movements, which can be of interest to trend traders. - The 30-day historical volatility reflects the actual past market movements of the variety. If this value is smaller than the implied volatility, it may suggest that the option price is relatively expensive, which can be a consideration for option sellers. - The target's daily true range reflects the intraday market movements of the variety, which can be useful for intraday traders [6]. 3. Exchange Option Analysis 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Shanghai 50ETF options on the day is 724,006 lots, and the open interest is 897,219 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.31, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.88%. The report also provides the T-type quotation table of Shanghai 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices [19][21]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are provided based on the implied volatility curves of call and put options. For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve above and buy the options of the month with the curve below. For the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy the options with points below the curve [25]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.87% when traded at the settlement price and 1.31% when traded at the counterparty price [28][30]. 3.1.2 Huatai-PB CSI 300ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Huatai-PB CSI 300ETF options on the day is 642,271 lots, and the open interest is 756,822 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.5, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.73%. The T-type quotation table of 300ETF options is also provided [30][33]. - Volatility Trading: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, volatility trading suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves [37]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 11.1% when traded at the settlement price and 0.92% when traded at the counterparty price [40][41]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Southern CSI 500ETF options on the day is 858,514 lots, and the open interest is 781,732 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.35, and the weighted average implied volatility is 16.74%. The T-type quotation table of 500ETF options is presented [42][44]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are provided according to the implied volatility curves [46]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 34.0% when traded at the settlement price and 7.14% when traded at the counterparty price [50][52]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF options on the day is 285,479 lots, and the open interest is 826,810 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 2.21, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.11%. The T-type quotation table of the STAR 50 ETF options is provided [53][55]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves [58][59]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 11.3% when traded at the settlement price and 0.22% when traded at the counterparty price [63][65]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF options on the day is 95,592 lots, and the open interest is 232,259 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.61, and the weighted average implied volatility is 24.89%. The T-type quotation table of the STAR 50 ETF options is presented [66][68]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are provided according to the implied volatility curves [72]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.16% when traded at the settlement price and 0.46% when traded at the counterparty price [75][77]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Harvest CSI 300ETF options on the day is 102,460 lots, and the open interest is 126,288 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.59, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.37%. The T-type quotation table of the Shenzhen 300ETF options is provided [78][81]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are given based on the implied volatility curves [83]. - Risk-Free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized rate of return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.13% when traded at the settlement price and 1.33% when traded at the counterparty price [87][89]. 3.2.2 E Fund ChiNext ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main E Fund ChiNext ETF options on the day is 1,328,578 lots, and the open interest is 994,127 lots. The trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.53, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.37%. The T-type quotation table of the ChiNext ETF options is presented [91][92]. - Volatility Trading: Volatility trading suggestions are provided according to the implied volatility curves [96].