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基金配置策略报告(2025年7月期):国内主题轮动加剧,基金组合如何应对?-20250709
HWABAO SECURITIES·2025-07-09 11:03

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant rotation in domestic themes, with a focus on how fund portfolios should respond to this trend [4][19] - In June 2025, the equity market showed an overall upward trend, while the bond market exhibited a clear structural market, benefiting from interest-bearing assets [3][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting fund managers who can track industry trends and suggests increasing the proportion of valuation-based sector rotation fund managers [4][19] Group 2 - The report indicates that the equity market is currently experiencing a rotation towards sectors with strong performance, such as innovative pharmaceuticals and AI computing chains [4][20] - The bond market is characterized by a slight decline in interest rates, with a preference for high-grade credit bonds and a balanced allocation between interest rate bonds and credit bonds [6][14] - The report outlines a strategy for constructing a solid fixed-income portfolio, focusing on short-term and medium-term bond funds to provide stable returns [26][33] Group 3 - The report details the performance of various fund indices, noting that growth-style funds significantly outperformed value and balanced funds in June 2025 [15][17] - The report identifies strong performance in sectors such as military, high-end manufacturing, and financial real estate, while consumer and agricultural sectors showed weaker performance [18][19] - The report suggests that the upcoming political meetings and potential policy changes will be critical for market direction, particularly in real estate and consumption sectors [19][28] Group 4 - The report discusses the construction of a low-volatility fixed-income plus index, emphasizing the selection of funds with a strong historical performance and risk control capabilities [37][41] - The medium-volatility fixed-income plus index focuses on funds with a balanced approach to risk and return, selecting those with strong stock-picking abilities [38][41] - The high-volatility fixed-income plus index aims to capture higher returns while maintaining a focus on risk management, particularly in the context of current market conditions [39][41]