2024年中国电力设备出海白皮书：新周期开启，出海正当时

Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable growth outlook for the Chinese power equipment export market, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% from 2024 to 2029 [8][25]. Core Insights - The global demand for power equipment is driven by the need for grid upgrades and the integration of renewable energy sources, with over 130 countries committing to carbon neutrality, leading to a surge in renewable energy equipment demand [8][25]. - The Chinese power equipment industry has a comprehensive supply chain covering transformers, high-voltage switches, smart meters, and generators, enabling it to provide complete solutions [3][25]. - The report highlights that the export market for Chinese power equipment is expected to reach $15.35 billion in 2024 and grow to $22.66 billion by 2029, with significant demand from regions such as Southeast Asia and Europe [10][25]. Market Overview - The report identifies key regions for power equipment exports, including Asia, Africa, Latin America, and Europe, with specific countries like Vietnam, India, and South Africa being highlighted as major markets [10][26]. - The demand for power equipment is expected to grow due to the aging infrastructure in developed countries, where over 50% of equipment has been in operation for more than 20 years [17][21]. - The report notes that the global renewable energy capacity is projected to increase significantly, with an expected addition of 3,700 GW from 2023 to 2028, and renewable energy is anticipated to account for over 42% of global electricity generation by 2028 [12][21]. Supply and Demand Analysis - On the demand side, the bottleneck in integrating renewable energy into existing grids is creating a need for substantial upgrades to transmission and distribution networks [7][12]. - The supply side indicates that leading overseas power equipment companies are facing production constraints and extended delivery times, providing an opportunity for Chinese companies to expand their exports [7][25]. - The report emphasizes that while overseas gross margins may fluctuate due to shipping costs and exchange rates, the overall profitability of overseas operations is better than that of the domestic market due to lower competition and cost advantages [8][25]. Segment Analysis - The report details the export market for different segments of power equipment, including generation equipment, transmission and distribution equipment, and renewable energy equipment, with specific growth rates and market sizes projected for each segment [26][27][29]. - It highlights that the transformer segment is particularly significant, accounting for 40.7% of the transmission and distribution equipment exports, with smart transformers and high-voltage switchgear expected to drive future growth [27][29]. - The renewable energy equipment segment is projected to see substantial growth, with exports expected to reach $2-2.5 billion in 2024, primarily in solar and wind energy sectors [29].