2025-07-16 00:55Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Xiaomi Corp, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance relative to its industry peers [4][64]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's global smartphone shipment in 2Q25 is expected to exceed its performance in 1Q25, with preliminary data suggesting a slight year-over-year increase of 0.6% to 42.5 million units, securing a 14.4% global market share [1][2]. - The overall global smartphone shipment in 2Q25 is projected to be 295.2 million units, reflecting a modest increase of 1.0% year-over-year according to IDC [1]. - Samsung remains the market leader with 58 million units shipped, representing a 7.9% year-over-year increase and a 19.7% market share, while Apple follows with 46.4 million units and a 15.7% share [2]. Summary by Sections Shipment Performance - Xiaomi's shipment is anticipated to surpass its previous quarter's performance, with a total of 42.5 million units shipped in 2Q25, marking a 0.6% increase year-over-year [2]. - The global smartphone market is experiencing slight growth, with IDC reporting a total shipment of 295.2 million units in 2Q25, up 1.0% year-over-year [1]. Market Position - Xiaomi ranks third in the global smartphone market, holding a 14.4% share, while Samsung and Apple hold the first and second positions, respectively [2]. - Canalys data indicates a 1% year-over-year decline in global smartphone shipments, with Xiaomi's market share slightly lower at 15% compared to IDC's figures [3]. Financial Metrics - The report provides financial projections for Xiaomi, estimating revenue growth from RMB 365.9 billion in 2024 to RMB 687.1 billion by 2027, with corresponding EPS growth from RMB 1.07 to RMB 2.56 over the same period [4].