KEDE Numerical (SH:688305) CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD·2025-07-24 09:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [4][5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic five-axis machine tool market, benefiting from the growth in aerospace and other industries, with a strong outlook for future performance [5]. - The five-axis machine tool market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of RMB 10.35 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13.4% [8]. - The company has a robust order book, with new orders increasing by 24% year-over-year in 2024, and a high repurchase rate of approximately 41% [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the machinery equipment sector, with a current A-share price of RMB 57.89 and a target price of RMB 67 [1]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 1.6 billion, RMB 2.1 billion, and RMB 2.8 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-over-year growth rates of 26%, 30%, and 32% respectively [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 1.2, RMB 1.6, and RMB 2.1 for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 47x, 36x, and 28x [8]. Market Position - The company holds a significant market share in the five-axis machine tool segment, with sales revenue ranking third among domestic manufacturers [8]. - The domestic market share of five-axis machine tools is projected to exceed 50% in 2024, driven by advancements in local product performance and government support [8]. Production Capacity - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet increasing demand, with plans to reach an annual capacity of 500-550 units in 2025, up from approximately 450 units in 2024 [8].