瑞达期货纯碱玻璃产业日报-20250728

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The supply of soda ash is expected to remain abundant, demand will continue to decline, and prices will remain under pressure. It's recommended to consider buying put options for the soda ash main contract [2] - The probability of a correction in the glass market has increased. Although the fundamentals of glass have improved, the terminal demand has not improved. It's advisable to wait and see for now [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the soda ash main contract was 1316 yuan/ton, down 124 yuan; the closing price of the glass main contract was 1223 yuan/ton, down 139 yuan [2] - The net position of the top 20 soda ash traders was -290077, an increase of 8272; the net position of the top 20 glass traders was -176305, an increase of 8320 [2] - The soda ash 9 - 1 contract spread was -76 yuan, an increase of 1 yuan; the glass 9 - 1 contract spread was -64 yuan, an increase of 31 yuan [2] - The soda ash basis was -50 yuan/ton, an increase of 38 yuan; the glass basis was -150 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7 yuan [2] Spot Market - The price of North China heavy soda ash was 1390 yuan/ton, an increase of 70 yuan; the price of Central China heavy soda ash was 1325 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan [2] - The price of East China light soda ash was 1250 yuan/ton, an increase of 75 yuan; the price of Central China light soda ash was 1250 yuan/ton, an increase of 55 yuan [2] - The price of Shahe glass sheets was 1212 yuan/ton, an increase of 48 yuan; the price of Central China glass sheets was 1230 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan [2] Industry Situation - The operating rate of soda ash plants was 83.02%, a decrease of 1.08 percentage points; the operating rate of float glass enterprises was 75%, a decrease of 0.34 percentage points [2] - The in - production capacity of glass was 15.89 million tons/year, an increase of 0.11 million tons; the number of in - production glass production lines was 223, unchanged [2] - The inventory of soda ash enterprises was 178.36 million tons, a decrease of 8.1 million tons; the inventory of glass enterprises was 6189.6 million heavy boxes, a decrease of 304.3 million heavy boxes [2] Downstream Situation - The cumulative value of new construction area in the real estate industry was 30364.32 million square meters, an increase of 7180.71 million square meters; the cumulative value of completed area was 22566.61 million square meters, an increase of 4181.47 million square meters [2] Industry News - The State Council deployed measures to gradually implement free preschool education [2] - The CSRC aimed to consolidate the market's stable and positive trend and improve the market - stabilizing mechanism [2] - The CSRC approved the registration of linear low - density polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, and polypropylene monthly average price futures [2] - The CSRC solicited public opinions on the revised "Corporate Governance Guidelines for Listed Companies" [2] - From January to June, the total profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size was 34365.0 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.8% [2] - In the first half of 2025, the stamp duty revenue was 1953 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 19.7%; the securities trading stamp duty was 785 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 54.1% [2]