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银行理财周度跟踪(2025.7.21-2025.7.27):理财市场半年报出炉,债市调整致理财收益普降-20250731
HWABAO SECURITIES·2025-07-31 10:15

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking wealth management industry Core Insights - The banking wealth management market has shown significant growth, with the total scale reaching 30.67 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.53% [3][10] - The proportion of closed-end products with a duration of over one year has increased to 72.86%, indicating a trend towards longer-duration products [3][10] - Fixed-income products dominate the market, accounting for 97.20% of the total wealth management product scale, while cash management products are experiencing a contraction [3][11] - The proportion of wealth management products investing in public funds has risen to 4.2%, reflecting a shift in investment strategy [3][12] - The weight of credit bonds in wealth management products has decreased, with holdings at 312.79 billion yuan, representing 38.79% of total investment assets, down 2.34 percentage points year-on-year [3][12] Summary by Sections Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The banking wealth management market has seen a notable increase in product scale, driven by factors such as the reduction in deposit rates and continuous innovation by wealth management companies [3][10] - The trend towards longer-duration products is aimed at enhancing yield and improving asset-liability matching [3][10] Yield Performance - For the week of July 21-27, 2025, cash management products recorded an annualized yield of 1.35%, down 2 basis points from the previous week [3][14] - The yield of fixed-income products has generally declined, influenced by market conditions and inflation expectations [3][15] Break-even Rate Tracking - The break-even rate for banking wealth management products rose to 2.02%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points week-on-week, indicating potential pressure on the products [3][23][25] - The expansion of credit spreads is correlated with the break-even rate, suggesting a need for close monitoring of credit market trends [3][23][24]