燃料油早报-20250801

Report Overview - Report Title: Fuel Oil Morning Report - Report Date: August 1, 2025 - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - This week, the high - sulfur crack spread fluctuated, the near - month spread declined and returned to the historical low for the same period. EW continued to weaken and rebounded on Friday. The 380 9 - 10 month spread weakened to around $2, the 380 basis continued to weaken to -$7.25/ton, and the FU09 domestic - foreign spread rebounded and then fluctuated. The Singapore 0.5 crack spread declined fluctuantly, the 9 - 10 month spread weakened to around $2.75, the LU domestic - foreign spread weakened, and the 09 domestic - foreign spread dropped to $0.7. [4][5] - This week, Singapore's on - land inventory increased slightly, floating storage decreased, and the near - month spread was under pressure. Saudi Arabia's shipments and imports increased month - on - month, while the UAE's shipments decreased significantly month - on - month. Egypt's net imports decreased slightly month - on - month but remained at a seasonal high. High - sulfur supply and demand are still in the peak season. After the 380 crack spread declined, it fluctuated. Currently, the EW arbitrage window is theoretically open, and the domestic - foreign spread oscillated after repair. [5] - This week, the hi - 5 spread fluctuated after a slight decline. The domestic LU domestic - foreign spread decline was realized, and the FU - LU domestic - foreign valuation was partially realized. Attention should be paid to whether there is support for the 380 near - month contract. [5] Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From July 25 to July 31, 2025, for Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, the price changed from $418.40 to $430.91, with a change of -$3.62; for Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, the price changed from $464.12 to $485.27, with a change of -$2.48; for Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1, the price changed from -$2.01 to -$3.80, with a change of -$0.20; etc. [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From July 25 to July 31, 2025, for Singapore 380cst M1, the price changed from $410.89 to $416.80, with a change of -$1.87; for Singapore 180cst M1, the price changed from $423.97 to $430.45, with a change of -$1.63; for Singapore VLSFO M1, the price changed from $495.32 to $509.36, with a change of -$1.75; etc. [2][10] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From July 25 to July 31, 2025, for FOB 380cst, the price changed from $403.34 to $411.50, with a change of -$0.77; for FOB VLSFO, the price changed from $499.89 to $511.91, with a change of -$2.94; the 380 basis changed from -$6.25 to -$6.25, with a change of $0.05; etc. [3] Domestic FU Data - From July 25 to July 31, 2025, for FU 01, the price changed from 2921 to 2953, with a change of -12; for FU 05, the price changed from 2872 to 2909, with a change of -3; for FU 09, the price changed from 2915 to 2933, with a change of -23; etc. [3] Domestic LU Data - From July 25 to July 31, 2025, for LU 01, the price changed from 3549 to 3628, with a change of -24; for LU 05, the price changed from 3489 to 3593, with a change of -21; for LU 09, the price changed from 3611 to 3655, with a change of -37; etc. [4]