建信期货股指日评-20250805

Report Information - Report Type: Stock Index Daily Review [1] - Date: August 5, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Nie Jiayi (Stock Index), He Zhuoqiao (Macro Precious Metals), Huang Wenxin (Macro Treasury Bonds and Container Shipping) [3] 1. Market Review and Future Outlook 1.1 Market Review - On August 4, the Wind All A index opened lower and then fluctuated upward, closing up 0.76%, with more than 3,500 stocks falling. [6] - In terms of index spot, the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed up 0.39%, 0.55%, 0.78%, and 1.04% respectively, with small and medium - cap stocks performing better. [6] - Index futures performed stronger than spot. The main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM closed up 0.58%, 0.58%, 1.06%, and 1.53% respectively (calculated based on the previous trading day's closing price). [6] 1.2 Future Outlook - In the external market, the US non - farm payrolls in July were 73,000, significantly lower than expected, and the data for May - June was revised down by a total of 258,000, indicating a weakening US labor market, which may boost the Fed's restart of the interest - rate cut process. [8] - Domestically, the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration jointly announced on August 1 that starting from August 8, value - added tax will be restored on the interest income of newly issued treasury bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds after this date. Under the stock - bond seesaw, it is more beneficial to the equity market, especially the dividend sector. [8] - In terms of funds, the trading volume of A - shares shrank today. After the Shanghai Composite Index pulled back, it attacked the 3,600 - point mark again. Long - position holders can consider adding positions on dips. [8] - In terms of market style, the dumbbell strategy remains unchanged. The SSE 50 with stable earnings and the CSI 1000 with higher earnings recovery elasticity may perform relatively better. [8] 2. Data Overview - The report presents various data charts including domestic main index performance, market style performance, industry sector performance (Shenwan Primary Index), trading volume of Wind All A, trading volume of stock index spot, trading volume and open interest of stock index futures, basis trend of main contracts, inter - period spread trend, share statistics of major ETF funds, and turnover statistics of major ETFs, all sourced from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures. [9][14][16][18][21] 3. Industry News - No industry news is provided in the report. [31]