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建信期货铜期货日报-20250805
Jian Xin Qi Huo·2025-08-05 02:01

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The current copper market shows inventory accumulation both at home and abroad, and it is the off - season for domestic demand. The short - term spot market has weak support for copper prices, and copper prices are mainly macro - driven. The weak US dollar and the loose monetary policies of China and the US are conducive to risk assets, so the short - term downside space for copper is limited, and attention should be paid to the support level of 77,000 [10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The Shanghai copper market showed a slight increase of 0.08%, with the main contract closing at 78,330 and the spot price rising by 90 to 78,420. The spot premium of Shanghai copper was stable, rising by 5 to 180. The premium of US - dollar copper declined, and the market supply and demand were weak. The LME0 - 3 contango structure remained around 50, and the expectation of inventory accumulation for LME copper was strong [10]. - The domestic and foreign markets are both experiencing inventory accumulation, and it is the off - season for domestic demand. The short - term spot market has weak support for copper prices. Copper prices are mainly influenced by the macro - environment. The weak US dollar and the loose monetary policies of China and the US are favorable for risk assets, and the short - term downside space for copper is limited. Attention should be paid to the support level of 77,000 [10]. 3.2. Industry News - Mitsubishi Materials Corporation is considering reducing the copper concentrate processing volume of its Onahama Smelting Co., Ltd. It plans to reduce the copper concentrate processing volume by shutting down some facilities after the scheduled equipment maintenance from October to November this year, while maintaining the processing volume of electronic waste to improve the utilization ratio of recycled materials and profitability [11]. - Non - formal miners in Peru have suspended negotiations with the government and may resume protests due to differences in the negotiations. Miners who cannot meet the deadline will be excluded from the government's work regularization plan [11]. - Vedant's performance report for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 shows that the company's quarterly profit did not meet expectations. Although local demand was strong, it could not offset the negative impacts of falling aluminum and copper prices and increased tax expenditures. The company's total revenue increased by 6.2% year - on - year to 374.34 billion rupees (about 4.3 billion US dollars), but the net profit decreased by 11.7% year - on - year to 31.85 billion rupees [12].