“婆罗洲明珠”文莱：概览、动态及展望（2025版）

Economic Overview - Brunei's GDP growth is highly dependent on oil and gas, contributing 46.7% to GDP and 39.9% to exports in 2024[10] - The economy contracted by 1.8% in Q1 2025 due to declining international oil prices and maintenance issues in the gas sector[37] - GDP growth rates for 2023 and 2024 are projected at 1.4% and 3.9% respectively, following a recovery from the pandemic[10] Trade and Investment - Brunei's external trade dependency is high, with exports at 150.3 billion Brunei dollars and imports at 97.5 billion Brunei dollars in 2024, resulting in a trade dependency ratio of 118.2%[25] - Hong Kong is the largest source of foreign direct investment, accounting for 35.7% of total FDI stock in Brunei[26] - Bilateral trade between China and Brunei reached 28.1 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.8% from 2018 to 2023[31] Economic Diversification Efforts - The Brunei government is actively pursuing economic diversification, focusing on sectors such as tourism, fisheries, and financial services[38] - The tourism sector aims to attract over 400,000 international visitors by 2026, with a target revenue of 315 million Brunei dollars[39] - The government is implementing policies to enhance the business environment and attract foreign investment in non-oil sectors[38]