HAID GROUP(SZ:002311) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-06 14:22Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][32]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Haida Group, is positioned as a high-quality asset in the agricultural and animal husbandry sector, with a focus on expanding its business from feed production to a comprehensive agricultural industry chain [3][32]. - The company aims to achieve a total feed sales volume of 14.7 million tons by the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%, significantly exceeding the national growth rate of 7.7% [3]. - The company is actively responding to the "Belt and Road" initiative, expanding its international market presence, with overseas feed sales expected to grow by 40% to 2.4 million tons in 2024 [3][9]. - The management team is noted for its significant advantages, focusing on stable core business operations while exploring new business opportunities within the multi-trillion yuan agricultural market [3][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Haida Group has been deeply involved in the agricultural and animal husbandry industry for nearly 30 years, establishing a closed-loop industrial chain that includes feed, seedlings, animal health, breeding, and processing [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 58.83 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, with a net profit of 2.64 billion yuan, up 24.2% [4][8]. Business Segments - The feed segment achieved a revenue of 47.14 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin of 9.79% [8]. - The company’s feed sales volume reached 14.7 million tons in the first half of 2025, marking a 25% increase compared to the previous year, and its market share rose from 8.41% in 2024 to 9.27% [8][9]. - The agricultural product sales segment reported a revenue of 9.735 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 20.26% [10]. Future Growth and Projections - The company aims for a total feed sales volume of over 30 million tons by 2025, with a mid-term goal of reaching 51.5 million tons by 2030 [9]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.161 billion yuan, 5.868 billion yuan, and 6.665 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.10 yuan, 3.53 yuan, and 4.01 yuan [3][30][32]. - The company is expected to maintain a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% in overseas markets from 2024 to 2030 [3][9]. Management and Operational Efficiency - The company has established a highly efficient organizational structure that integrates procurement, research and development, sales, and production, which enhances its responsiveness to market demands [16][24]. - The management team has demonstrated a strong ability to maintain high asset turnover rates, with an average ROE of 19% from 2017 to 2024 [16][18].