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碳酸锂期货日报-20250815
Jian Xin Qi Huo·2025-08-15 02:15

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures market showed a pattern of hitting bottom and then rebounding. The main contract of lithium carbonate once dropped to 82,820 during the session, but closed with a doji star at the end of the session. Although related industrial products had significant intraday declines, lithium carbonate was relatively resilient. The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,000 to 82,000, the price of Australian ore rose by 20 to 990, and the price of lithium mica increased by 45 to 2,075. The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene expanded to 1,114, while the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 4,942. Salt plants' production enthusiasm was high, and the weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new historical high of 19,980. The social inventory decreased by 162 to 142,256 tons. This week, both production and sales of lithium carbonate were booming. The shutdown of the Jianxiaowo Mine did not affect the weekly production of lithium carbonate. The emergence of a turning point in social inventory supported the lithium price. However, the current high - price lithium carbonate has a strong stimulating effect on upstream salt plants. It is expected that under the background of high - growth supply, the de - stocking of lithium carbonate will be limited. With limited support from the fundamentals and the weakening of small - scale speculation, the lithium price is expected to decline [12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: The main contract of lithium carbonate futures hit bottom and rebounded, closing with a doji star. It was relatively resilient compared to related industrial products [12]. - Spot Market: The spot price of electric carbon increased by 1,000 to 82,000, the price of Australian ore rose by 20 to 990, and the price of lithium mica increased by 45 to 2,075 [12]. - Profit and Production: The profit of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene expanded to 1,114, while the loss of salt plants using purchased lithium mica widened to 4,942. The weekly production of lithium carbonate reached a new historical high of 19,980, and the social inventory decreased by 162 to 142,256 tons [12]. - Price Forecast: With high - growth supply and limited fundamental support, the lithium price is expected to decline [12]. 3.2 Industry News - Technological Innovation: Scientists at Tokyo University of Science have developed a new quasi - solid electrolyte 3D - SLISE, which significantly improves the safety, efficiency, and recyclability of lithium - ion batteries. It uses environmentally friendly components such as borate - water - based systems, can achieve multi - directional lithium - ion conduction, reduces production costs and carbon footprint, and enables fast charging (20 minutes) and over 400 cycles of life. Its water - based design allows for the direct recovery of precious elements such as cobalt in electrodes by soaking in water without using harmful chemicals. This technology is expected to be applied in electronics, energy storage, and electric vehicles, promoting the battery industry towards a cleaner and more sustainable development [13]. - Business Cooperation: On August 4, 2025, Tiantie Technology announced that Anhui Tiantie Lithium - Ion New Energy Co., Ltd. and Zhuhai Xinjie Energy Technology Co., Ltd. signed a "Procurement Framework Agreement" and a "Framework Agreement Purchase Order." Zhuhai Xinjie will purchase copper - lithium composite strips from Anhui Tiantie, with an order amount of 400 million yuan [13].