有色套利早报-20250820

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data of various non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on August 20, 2025, including domestic prices, LME prices, price ratios, equilibrium price ratios, and profit margins [1][3][4][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: On August 20, 2025, the domestic spot price was 79,100, the LME spot price was 9,653, the spot price ratio was 8.20, the equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.17, and the profit was 209.23; the domestic March price was 78,860, the LME March price was 9,750, and the price ratio was 8.09 [1]. - Zinc: The domestic spot price was 22,190, the LME spot price was 2,767, the spot price ratio was 8.02, the equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.67, and the profit was - 1,787.67; the domestic March price was 22,205, the LME March price was 2,777, and the price ratio was 6.05 [1]. - Aluminum: The domestic spot price was 20,590, the LME spot price was 2,576, the spot price ratio was 7.99, the equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.47, and the profit was - 1,228.29; the domestic March price was 20,520, the LME March price was 2,580, and the price ratio was 7.98 [1]. - Nickel: The domestic spot price was 119,450, the LME spot price was 14,890, the spot price ratio was 8.02, the equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.25, and the profit was - 2,120.30 [1]. - Lead: The domestic spot price was 16,650, the LME spot price was 1,943, the spot price ratio was 8.58, the equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.86, and the profit was - 543.18; the domestic March price was 16,850, the LME March price was 1,985, and the price ratio was 11.21 [3]. Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: The spreads of the next - month, March, April, and May contracts relative to the spot - month contract were - 80, - 90, - 100, and - 100 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 497, 892, 1295, and 1699 respectively [4]. - Zinc: The spreads were - 135, - 135, - 140, and - 135 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 335, 456, and 577 respectively [4]. - Aluminum: The spreads were - 55, - 80, - 105, and - 130 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 214, 329, 444, and 559 respectively [4]. - Lead: The spreads were 60, 75, 105, and 140 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 209, 314, 419, and 524 respectively [4]. - Nickel: The spreads were 110, 380, 660, and 940 respectively [4]. - Tin: The spread of the 5 - 1 contract was 880, and the theoretical spread was 5556 [4]. Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot were - 125 and - 205 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 424 and 851 respectively [4]. - Zinc: The spreads were 150 and 15 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 179 and 294 respectively [4][5]. - Lead: The spreads were 125 and 185 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 187 and 299 respectively [5]. Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On August 20, 2025, the cross - variety price ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc in the Shanghai (three - continuous) market were 3.55, 3.84, 4.68, 0.92, 1.22, and 0.76 respectively, and in the London (three - continuous) market were 3.50, 3.78, 4.91, 0.93, 1.30, and 0.71 respectively [8].