牧原股份分析师会议-20250821

Group 1: Report Overview - Reported company: Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. - Industry: Agriculture, Animal Husbandry, Feed, and Fishery - Research date: August 20, 2025 [1] Group 2: Research Participants - Participating institutions: E Fund Management Co., Ltd., Taikang Asset Management Co., Ltd., Manulife Fund Management Co., Ltd., ICBC - AXA Life Insurance Co., Ltd., China Construction Bank Fund Management Co., Ltd., etc. [2] Group 3: Company Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 76.463 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 34.46%; a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.530 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1,169.77%; and a net cash flow from operating activities of 17.351 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 12.13%. As of the end of Q2 2025, the asset - liability ratio was 56.06%, a decrease of 3.14 percentage points from the end of Q1 [23]. - The company aims to reduce the overall debt scale by 10 billion yuan this year. As of the end of Q2, the total debt decreased by 5.6 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year, and more than half of the debt reduction target has been completed [23]. - In the pig farming business in H1 2025, the company sold 46.91 million pigs, including 38.394 million commercial pigs, 8.291 million piglets, and 0.225 million breeding pigs. As of the end of June 2025, the inventory of breeding sows was 3.431 million [23]. - Thanks to technological innovation and management optimization, the company's full - cost of pig farming decreased monthly, reaching about 11.8 yuan/kg in July. The company aims for an average annual cost of 12 yuan/kg this year [23]. - In the slaughter and meat business in H1 2025, the company slaughtered 11.4148 million pigs, a year - on - year increase of 110.87%, with the capacity utilization rate rising to 78.72%. The loss was about 100 million yuan, a significant year - on - year reduction [24]. - The company announced a semi - annual profit distribution plan in 2025, planning to distribute a cash dividend of 9.32 yuan per 10 shares (tax - included), with a total dividend of 5.002 billion yuan (tax - included), accounting for 47.50% of the semi - annual net profit attributable to shareholders [24]. Group 4: Company Strategies and Plans Response to industry capacity control measures - Reduce the inventory of breeding sows, aiming to reduce it to 3.3 million by the end of the year. Do not consider adding new sows in the short term next year [25]. - Reduce the average weight of pigs for sale, expecting it to drop to 120 kg by the end of this month [25]. - Stop selling fattening pigs to secondary fattening customers and cooperate with relevant departments to build a control system [25]. Use of funds from Hong Kong listing - The funds raised from the Hong Kong listing will be used for expanding the global business and R & D, not for new domestic capacity construction [25]. Dividend plan - In 2024 - 2026, the company plans to distribute cash dividends of no less than 40% of the available distributable profit each year. In H1 2025, the planned cash dividend is 5.002 billion yuan (tax - included), accounting for 47.50% of the semi - annual net profit attributable to shareholders. The dividend ratio will be adjusted dynamically in the future [25][26]. Overseas business - The company has established an overseas business team, is exploring overseas markets, and will use various models such as light - asset, new capacity building, and M & A in the future [26]. Cost reduction path - Focus on pig breeding, health management, and employee training to achieve the cost reduction target of an average of 12 yuan/kg this year and 11 yuan/kg by the end of the year [27][28]. Support for farmers - Increase the scale of piglet sales, provide customized pig - farming solutions, and build an industrial interconnection platform to share development dividends with farmers [28].