芳烃橡胶早报-20250822

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For PTA, with low processing fees, additional maintenance has increased. Although filament sales are weak, there is limited scope for further production cuts in the short - term. Bottle - chip inventories are continuously decreasing at low operation rates. Overall, polyester operation is expected to stabilize and has upward potential, and the supply - demand situation is expected to improve periodically. Attention can be paid to the opportunity of expanding processing fees at low prices [3] - For MEG, domestic unit restarts are partially delayed, and overseas unexpected maintenance exists. Port inventories are expected to remain low with limited short - term inventory accumulation pressure. The situation is good, but the valuation is greatly affected by the subsequent evolution of the cost side, showing a wide - range oscillation. Attention should be paid to the satellite restart progress [8] - For polyester staple fiber, as the finished - product inventory of polyester yarn is continuously decreasing, downstream operation may continue to rise. Although the supply of staple fiber may also increase, the overall space is limited. Considering that the disk processing fee is still in a low range, attention can be paid to the opportunity of expanding processing fees at low prices [8] - For natural rubber and 20 - number rubber, the national explicit inventory remains stable at a non - high absolute level but does not show seasonal depletion. The price of Thai cup rubber has rebounded due to rainfall affecting tapping. The strategy is to wait and see [8] Summary by Related Catalogs PTA - Market Data: From August 15 to August 21, the price of naphtha in Japan increased from 65.9 to 67.7, PX CFR Taiwan from 573 to 585, PTA internal - market spot from 828 to 852, etc. The PTA spot average daily transaction basis for 2509 increased by 6. There were maintenance of Yisheng Hainan's 2 million - ton and Hengli Huizhou's 5 million - ton PTA devices [2] - Market Situation: Near - end TA operation rate increased month - on - month, polyester load slightly increased, inventory continued to accumulate, basis remained weak, and spot processing fees were still low. PX domestic operation rate increased slightly, overseas operation rate decreased slightly, PXN strengthened month - on - month, and the US - Asia aromatic hydrocarbon price difference increased slightly [3] MEG - Market Data: From August 15 to August 21, the price of Northeast Asian ethylene remained at 830 on August 21, MEG external - market price increased from 523 to 530, etc. The MEG spot basis for 09 increased by 91. Xinjiang Tianying's 150,000 - ton unit restarted [8] - Market Situation: Near - end domestic units had partial delayed restarts, and overseas had some unexpected maintenance. Port inventories were expected to accumulate with stable shipments. Downstream inventory levels increased month - on - month, the basis remained stable, and oil - based benefits improved significantly [8] Polyester Staple Fiber - Market Data: From August 15 to August 21, the price of 1.4D cotton - type staple fiber increased from 6555 to 6610. The spot price was around 6598, and the market basis for 10 was around - 120. The operation rate slightly increased to 91.1% [8] - Market Situation: The Ningbo Dafa technical - transformation unit resumed operation, and production and sales remained stable. Inventory remained the same month - on - month. On the demand side, the operation rate of polyester yarn increased, raw - material inventory increased, and finished - product inventory continued to decrease [8] Natural Rubber & 20 - Number Rubber - Market Data: From August 15 to August 21, the price of US - dollar Thai standard spot increased from 1800 to 1800 (with fluctuations in between), and the price of Shanghai full - latex decreased from 14645 to 14520. The daily change and weekly change of various prices are also provided [8] - Market Situation: The national explicit inventory remained stable at a non - high absolute level but did not show seasonal depletion. The price of Thai cup rubber rebounded due to rainfall affecting tapping [8] Styrene - Market Data: From August 15 to August 21, the price of ethylene (CFR Northeast Asia) remained at 830 on August 21, pure benzene (CFR China) remained at 748, etc. The daily changes of various prices are also provided [11] - Market Situation: Not provided