先锋期货期权日报-20250825
Xian Feng Qi Huo·2025-08-25 09:21
- Report Information - Report Title: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report [1] - Report Date: August 25, 2025 [1] 2. Option Volatility Ranking 2.1 Ranking Table | Target | At - the - money Option Implied Volatility | Rank | 30 - day Historical Volatility of the Target | Rank | Daily True Range of the Target | Rank | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |科创50etf8月|5.0%|1|2.3%|7|5.3%|2| |科创板50etf8月|4.9%|2|2.4%|6|5.4%|1| |ps2510|3.7%|3|3.5%|2|3.4%|7| |lc2510|3.4%|4|4.0%|1|3.8%|3| |si2510|3.0%|5|3.0%|3|3.1%|8| |创业板etf8月|3.0%|6|1.6%|11|3.6%|5| |深证100etf8月|2.3%|7|1.1%|23|2.5%|11| |br2510|2.2%|8|1.5%|14|3.6%|4| |jd2510|2.1%|9|1.0%|31|1.5%|33| |fg510|2.1%|10|2.6%|4|3.5%|6| |ao2510|2.1%|11|2.0%|9|2.6%|10| |中证500etf8月|2.1%|12|1.1%|26|2.1%|16| |500etf8月|2.1%|13|1.0%|30|2.1%|17| |sh510|2.0%|14|1.5%|13|2.3%|13| |sa510|2.0%|15|2.5%|5|1.8%|25| |沪深300etf8月|2.0%|16|0.9%|35|2.1%|19| |sc2510|1.9%|17|1.3%|17|1.0%|52| |50etf8月|1.9%|18|0.9%|34|2.0%|22| |px510|1.8%|19|1.0%|29|1.3%|39| |mo2509|1.8%|20|1.0%|32|1.9%|24| |300etf8月|1.7%|21|0.9%|36|2.0%|21| |ho2509|1.7%|22|0.9%|37|2.0%|20| |cj601|1.7%|23|1.4%|15|2.3%|12| |ag2510|1.7%|24|1.1%|22|2.8%|9| |ni2510|1.6%|25|0.7%|47|1.0%|51| |sf510|1.6%|26|2.2%|8|1.4%|35| |ap510|1.6%|27|0.9%|39|1.6%|27| |io2509|1.6%|28|0.8%|40|2.1%|18| |sn2510|1.5%|29|0.6%|51|1.9%|23| |p2510|1.5%|30|1.0%|27|1.4%|37| |ur510|1.4%|31|1.3%|18|0.9%|56| |ru2601|1.4%|32|1.2%|19|2.2%|14| |sm510|1.4%|33|1.8%|10|1.4%|36| |rb2510|1.4%|34|1.4%|16|1.5%|31| |ta510|1.3%|35|1.0%|28|1.5%|30| |rm511|1.3%|36|1.5%|12|1.6%|26| |bz2603|1.2%|37|0.6%|52|0.6%|63| |pg2510|1.2%|38|0.9%|33|1.5%|32| |i2510|1.2%|39|1.1%|25|2.2%|15| |eb2510|1.2%|40|0.8%|42|1.6%|28| |lh2511|1.1%|41|0.8%|45|1.3%|40| |ma510|1.1%|42|1.2%|20|1.0%|50| |pf510|1.1%|43|0.9%|38|1.1%|47| |au2510|1.1%|44|0.5%|56|1.3%|41| |cu2510|1.0%|45|0.5%|58|1.5%|29| |b2510|1.0%|46|0.8%|44|0.9%|55| |oi511|1.0%|47|1.1%|24|1.0%|48| |v2510|0.9%|48|1.1%|21|1.2%|42| |lg2511|0.9%|49|0.8%|43|1.2%|45| |pr512|0.9%|50|0.7%|50|0.9%|53| |pb2510|0.9%|51|0.4%|62|0.8%|60| |m2511|0.9%|52|0.8%|41|1.4%|34| |zn2510|0.9%|53|0.6%|53|1.2%|43| |eg2510|0.8%|54|0.7%|46|0.8%|59| |pk510|0.8%|55|0.3%|65|1.2%|46| |y2511|0.8%|56|0.7%|48|1.2%|44| |al2510|0.7%|57|0.4%|63|0.9%|57| |ad2511|0.7%|58|0.3%|64|0.8%|58| |l2510|0.7%|59|0.5%|55|0.6%|64| |a2511|0.7%|60|0.7%|49|0.8%|61| |cf511|0.6%|61|0.5%|54|1.0%|49| |c2511|0.6%|62|0.4%|61|1.3%|38| |cs2511|0.6%|63|0.5%|57|0.9%|54| [3][5] 2.2 Volatility Explanation - At - the - money option implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of the future volatility of the variety. A larger value indicates a higher probability of significant market movements. Trend traders can focus on the top - ranked varieties. - The 30 - day historical volatility of the target reflects the actual past market movements of the variety. If this value is smaller than the implied volatility, it means the option price may be relatively expensive. Option sellers can focus on the difference in rankings between the two. - The daily true range of the target reflects the intraday market movements of the variety. Intraday traders can focus on the top - ranked varieties [6] 3. Exchange Option Analysis 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 SSE 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the SSE 50 ETF's main options on this day was 1,221,294 contracts, the open interest was 706,054 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 2.16, and the weighted average implied volatility was 38.23% [21] - Volatility Trading: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [23] - Risk - free Arbitrage: When trading at the settlement price, the minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 128%; when trading at the counter - price, it is 26.0% [27][29] 3.1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the Huatai - Berry SSE 300 ETF's main options on this day was 1,129,506 contracts, the open interest was 455,848 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.87, and the weighted average implied volatility was 29.67% [32] - Volatility Trading: Similar to the SSE 50 ETF, for different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [37] - Risk - free Arbitrage: When trading at the settlement price, the minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 34.2%; when trading at the counter - price, it is 11.8% [39][41] 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the Southern CSI 500 ETF's main options on this day was 1,690,014 contracts, the open interest was 603,757 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 1.56, and the weighted average implied volatility was 32.05% [44] - Volatility Trading: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [46] - Risk - free Arbitrage: When trading at the settlement price, the minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 161%; when trading at the counter - price, it is 21.1% [50][52] 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF's main options on this day was 1,815,057 contracts, the open interest was 750,981 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 2.11, and the weighted average implied volatility was 75.14% [55] - Volatility Trading: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [58] - Risk - free Arbitrage: When trading at the settlement price, the minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held until maturity is 351%; when trading at the counter - price, it is 63.6% [61][63] 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF's main options on this day was 429,587 contracts, the open interest was 249,455 contracts, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options was 2.27, and the weighted average implied volatility was 79.05% [66] - Volatility Trading: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [71] - Risk - free Arbitrage: No specific data provided in the report 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options - Options Include:嘉实沪深 300ETF, E Fund ChiNext ETF,嘉实中证 500ETF, E Fund SZSE 100 ETF. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [8][9] 3.3 CFFEX Options - Options Include: SSE 300, CSI 1000, SSE 50. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [9] 3.4 Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange Options - Options Include: Sugar, Cotton, PTA, Methanol, Rapeseed Meal, Steam - coal, Peanut, Rapeseed Oil, p - Xylene, Caustic Soda, Staple Fiber, Soda Ash, Urea, Manganese Silicon, Ferrosilicon, Apple, Red Date, Glass, Bottle Chip. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [10][11][12] 3.5 Dalian Commodity Exchange Options - Options Include: Soybean Meal, Corn, Iron Ore, LPG, LLDPE, PVC, PP, Palm Oil, Soybean No.1, Soybean No.2, Soybean Oil, Ethylene Glycol, Styrene, Egg, Corn Starch, Live Pig, Log, Pure Benzene. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [13][14][15] 3.6 Shanghai Futures Exchange Options - Options Include: Copper, Rubber, Gold, Aluminum, Zinc, Silver, Rebar, Synthetic Rubber, Lead, Tin, Alumina, Cast Aluminum Alloy. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [16][17] 3.7 Shanghai International Energy Exchange Options - Options Include: Crude Oil. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for this option [17] 3.8 Guangzhou Futures Exchange Options - Options Include: Industrial Silicon, Lithium Carbonate, Polysilicon. The report only provides the directory, and no detailed data is given for these options [18]