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广发期货金融日报-20250826
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2025-08-26 06:38
  1. Investment Ratings - The provided reports do not mention any industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views - The reports offer a comprehensive analysis of various financial products, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping, and relevant economic data. They present current price information, price changes, and historical percentile data for different contracts and indicators, enabling investors to understand market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Directory Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - Price Differences: Presents the current price differences and historical percentile data of various stock index futures contracts, including F, H, IC, and IM. For example, the F period - spot price difference is 5.38, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 86.40% [1]. - Cross - Period Spreads: Details the cross - period spreads of different contracts, such as the next - month minus the current - month spread, the far - month minus the current - month spread, etc. For instance, the next - month minus the current - month spread of F is - 3.00, with a change of 3.20 compared to the previous day [1]. - Cross - Variety Ratios: Provides cross - variety ratios, like the ratio of IC to IF, which is 1.5442, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 96.70% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - Basis: Displays the basis of different Treasury bond futures, including TS, TF, T, and TL. For example, the TS basis is 1.4868, with a change of - 0.0340 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 20.50% [2]. - Cross - Period Spreads: Covers the cross - period spreads of different Treasury bond futures contracts. For instance, the current - quarter minus the next - quarter spread of TS is - 0.0760, with a change of - 0.0720 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 12.50% [2]. - Cross - Variety Spreads: Presents cross - variety spreads, such as the spread between TS and TF, which is - 3.1140, with a change of - 0.0620 compared to the previous day and a historical percentile of 13.30% [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - Futures Prices: Shows the closing prices and price changes of domestic and foreign precious metal futures contracts. For example, the AU2510 contract price is 779.18 yuan/gram, with a rise of 5.78 yuan and a rise rate of 0.75% compared to the previous day [4]. - Spot Prices: Provides the spot prices and price changes of precious metals, including London gold, London silver, and Shanghai Gold Exchange T + D products. For instance, the London gold price is 3365.61 dollars/ounce, with a fall of 5.63 dollars and a fall rate of - 0.17% compared to the previous day [4]. - Other Indicators: Includes indicators such as the difference between gold TD and Shanghai gold futures, the ratio of COMEX gold to silver, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions [4]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - Spot Quotes: Offers spot quotes for container shipping, such as the freight rates of different shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route. For example, the MAERSK freight rate is 2353 dollars/FEU, with a rise of 80 dollars and a rise rate of 3.52% compared to the previous day [6]. - Container Shipping Index: Presents the settlement price index and price changes of container shipping, including SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route). For instance, the SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 1990.20, with a fall of 190.0 and a fall rate of - 8.71% compared to the previous day [6]. - Futures Prices and Basis: Displays the futures prices and basis of container shipping contracts. For example, the EC2602 futures price is 1496.9, with a rise of 31.9 and a rise rate of 2.18% compared to the previous day, and the basis of the main contract is 544.5, with a fall of 205.7 and a fall rate of - 27.42% compared to the previous day [6]. - Fundamental Data: Covers fundamental data such as global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, export differences, and overseas economic indicators [6]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information Report - Overseas Data: Lists overseas economic indicators and financial events, including the US durable goods orders monthly rate, the Brazilian agricultural product production survey results, etc. [8] - Domestic Data: Presents domestic economic indicators and financial events, such as the expiration of 3000 billion yuan of 1 - year medium - term lending facilities (MLF), the inventory and port throughput of manganese ore in Qinzhou Port, etc. [8]