Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The overall situation in September is loose, and the subsequent driving force continues to be weak. However, the valuation in October has gradually approached the annual low (1250 - 1300), and the downside space may be limited. Attention can be paid to the long - allocation opportunity of the 12 - contract [2] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs Futures Market - Futures Contracts: The closing prices of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, and EC2606 decreased by 2.88%, 3.11%, 1.84%, 0.85%, and 2.01% respectively. The trading volume of EC2510 was 25,779, and the open - interest changes of different contracts varied, with EC2510 increasing by 52, EC2604 increasing by 133, etc. [2] - Month - to - Month Spreads: The spread of EC2510 - 2512 increased by 13.7 compared with the previous day and 95.9 compared with the previous week. The spread of EC2512 - 2602 decreased by 25.2 compared with the previous day and 69.3 compared with the previous week [2] Spot Market - Spot Prices: The prices of Telinit SCH (European Line) on August 25th and 22nd were 1990.2 and 1668 dollars/TEU respectively, with a decrease of 8.71% and 8.35% compared with the previous periods. The CCFI on August 22nd was 1757.74 points, a decrease of 1.85% compared with the previous period, and the NCFI was 1083.74 points, a decrease of 8.83% compared with the previous period [2] Shipping Market Weekly Situation - Booking Situation: Downstream is currently booking shipping space for the end of August and early September (week35 - 36). The final average price of week35 is 2550 dollars (1800 points), and the current average quoted price of week36 is 2300 dollars (1600 points). Different alliances and shipping companies have different price ranges [2] - Capacity Situation: The weekly average capacity in September and October 2025 is 300,000 and 320,000 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as suspended sailings, it is 290,000 and 290,000 TEU. On August 26th, the suspension of the FE4 route of the PA alliance in week38 of September was filled by HMM AOUAMARINE, increasing the weekly average capacity in September to 305,000 TEU [2] Recent European Line Quotation Situation - Week35: The average landed price is 2575 dollars (1770 points) [3] - Week36: The latest quoted price of shipping companies ranges from 2120 to 2420 dollars, with an average of 2250 dollars (1550 points). Different alliances and shipping companies have different price ranges [3] - Week37: The opening quoted price of MSK is 1900 dollars (1300 points) [3] Related News - On August 23rd, US President Trump announced a major tariff investigation on imported furniture, and the tax rate is to be determined. On August 26th, Trump said dealing with Netanyahu was difficult and expected a good and clear outcome in 2 - 3 weeks. Also on August 26th, Trump threatened to impose up to 200% tariffs on Chinese goods exported to the US if rare - earth magnet exports were restricted [4]
永安期货集运早报-20250827