瑞达期货锰硅硅铁产业日报-20250829

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views - On August 28, the manganese - silicon 2601 contract was reported at 5842, down 0.24%. The manganese - silicon should be treated as oscillating. The production has been on an upward trend since mid - May, and after the recent price recovery, the inventory has decreased for 5 consecutive weeks to a neutral level. The 8 - month steel mill procurement tender price increased by 150 yuan/ton month - on - month. [2] - On August 28, the ferrosilicon 2511 contract was reported at 5624, down 0.60%. The ferrosilicon should also be treated as oscillating. After the profit improvement, the production has rebounded rapidly in recent weeks, and the inventory is at a neutral level. The 8 - month steel mill procurement tender price increased by 100 yuan/ton month - on - month. [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - SM (manganese - silicon)主力合约收盘价 was 5,842.00 yuan/ton, up 10.00 yuan; SF (ferrosilicon)主力合约收盘价 was 5,624.00 yuan/ton, down 10.00 yuan. [2] - SM期货合约持仓量 was 550,243.00 hands, down 2,826.00 hands; SF期货合约持仓量 was 416,169.00 hands, down 5,671.00 hands. [2] - The net position of the top 20 in SM was - 73,477.00 hands, down 480.00 hands; the net position of the top 20 in SF was - 36,564.00 hands, down 1,473.00 hands. [2] - The SM1 - 9 month contract spread was 108.00 yuan/ton, up 6.00 yuan; the SF1 - 9 month contract spread was 178.00 yuan/ton, up 8.00 yuan. [2] - SM仓单 was 66,783.00 sheets, down 715.00 sheets; SF仓单 was 19,201.00 sheets, down 125.00 sheets. [2] 3.2 Spot Market - In the spot market, the prices of manganese - silicon in Inner Mongolia, Guizhou, and Yunnan all decreased by 30 yuan/ton, and the prices of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, and Ningxia all decreased by 40 yuan/ton. [2] - The SM主力合约基差 was - 122.00 yuan/ton, down 40.00 yuan; the SF主力合约基差 was - 204.00 yuan/ton, down 30.00 yuan. [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The price of South African ore (Mn38 block, Tianjin Port) was 24.00 yuan/ton - degree, unchanged; the price of silica (98%, Northwest) was 210.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. [2] - The price of Inner Mongolia Wuhai secondary metallurgical coke was 1,200.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of semi - coke (medium material, Shenmu) was 680.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. [2] - The manganese ore port inventory was 444.60 million tons, down 2.00 million tons. [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The manganese - silicon enterprise start - up rate was 46.37%, up 0.62%; the ferrosilicon enterprise start - up rate was 36.52%, up 0.34%. [2] - The manganese - silicon supply was 211,190.00 tons, up 4,130.00 tons; the ferrosilicon supply was 113,400.00 tons, up 500.00 tons. [2] - The manganese - silicon manufacturer inventory was 156,000.00 tons, down 2,800.00 tons; the ferrosilicon manufacturer inventory was 62,080.00 tons, down 3,100.00 tons. [2] - The national steel mill inventory days of manganese - silicon was 14.24 days, down 1.25 days; the national steel mill inventory days of ferrosilicon was 14.25 days, down 1.13 days. [2] - The demand for manganese - silicon from the five major steel types was 125,285.00 tons, down 97.00 tons; the demand for ferrosilicon from the five major steel types was 20,275.90 tons, down 38.06 tons. [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The blast furnace start - up rate of 247 steel mills was 83.34%, down 0.23%; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.27%, up 0.03%. [2] - The crude steel output was 7,965.82 million tons, down 352.58 million tons. [2] 3.6 Industry News - Personal bankruptcy local regulations have been implemented in Xiamen. [2] - Chinese chip manufacturers are seeking to triple the production of AI chips in 2026 to reduce dependence on Nvidia. [2] - PetroChina is studying the possibility of using stablecoins in cross - border settlement payments. [2] - Chinese officials visited Canada and will meet with US officials. [2]