先锋期货期权日报-20250902
Xian Feng Qi Huo·2025-09-02 09:05
- Report Information - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Option Daily Report [1] - Report Date: September 2, 2025 [1] 2. Option Underlying Volatility Ranking 2.1 Ranking Explanation - The table shows the ranking of option underlying based on at-the-money implied volatility, 30-day historical volatility, and daily true range [3]. - The at-the-money implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future price movement of the underlying, with higher values indicating a greater likelihood of significant price changes [5]. - The 30-day historical volatility shows the actual historical price movements of the underlying, and a lower value compared to the implied volatility may suggest that the option price is relatively expensive [5]. - The daily true range represents the intraday price movement of the underlying on the day [5]. 2.2 Top Rankings - At-the-money Implied Volatility: ps2510 ranks first with 4.5% [3]. - 30-day Historical Volatility: lc2510 ranks first with 3.3% [3]. - Daily True Range: The创业板etf9月 ranks first with 4.9% [3]. 3. Exchange Option Analysis 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Shanghai 50ETF options is 1,076,227 lots, the open interest is 1,248,294 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.62, and the weighted average implied volatility is 22.37% [20]. - Volatility Trading: Sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [23]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.60% at the settlement price and 1.41% at the counterparty price [26][28]. 3.1.2 Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF options is 1,169,972 lots, the open interest is 985,481 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.33, and the weighted average implied volatility is 21.71% [31]. - Volatility Trading: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [34]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 29.7% at the settlement price and 2.01% at the counterparty price [38][39]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Southern CSI 500ETF options is 1,979,658 lots, the open interest is 981,865 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.04, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.75% [42]. - Volatility Trading: Follow the same strategy as above, sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [45]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 66.8% at the settlement price and 15.6% at the counterparty price [50][52]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Huaxia SSE STAR 50 ETF options is 1,657,235 lots, the open interest is 1,550,085 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.53, and the weighted average implied volatility is 50.24% [55]. - Volatility Trading: Adopt the same volatility trading strategy, sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [59]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 16.7% at the settlement price and 2.42% at the counterparty price [63][64]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main E Fund SSE STAR 50 ETF options is 360,178 lots, the open interest is 430,779 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.58, and the weighted average implied volatility is 50.98% [67]. - Volatility Trading: Use the same volatility trading approach, sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [69]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 27.2% at the settlement price and 6.03% at the counterparty price [74][76]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF - Basic Information: The trading volume of the main Harvest CSI 300ETF options is 225,860 lots, the open interest is 217,157 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.31, and the weighted average implied volatility is 24.33% [80]. - Volatility Trading: Apply the same volatility trading strategy, sell options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buy those in months with lower curves; sell options with higher points on the curve and buy those with lower points within the same month [83]. - Risk-free Arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 18.3% at the settlement price and 2.19% at the counterparty price [86][88].