Investment Rating - The report maintains a bullish outlook on gold and silver, raising long-term price targets for gold to $2,500 per ounce and silver to $35 per ounce, reflecting increases of +25% and +30% respectively [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the conditions driving the recent strength in gold prices are expected to persist, including factors such as the US structural deficit, inflationary pressures from deglobalization, perceived threats to the independence of the US central bank, and global geopolitical tensions [3]. - Central banks are projected to continue purchasing gold at elevated levels, with a calculation indicating that over 11,000 tonnes of gold would need to be acquired to achieve a 30% gold holding in total reserves, suggesting a bullish outlook for gold prices [2][12]. - The average gold price forecast for the next six years has been increased by +6% to $3,049 per ounce, while the average silver price forecast has been raised by +7.5% to $38 per ounce [3]. Summary by Sections Price Forecasts - Long-term real gold and silver prices have been raised to $2,500 per ounce and $35 per ounce respectively, with near-term forecasts for gold at $3,356 per ounce in 2025 and $3,659 per ounce in 2026 [3][7]. - The report anticipates a short to medium-term target for gold prices to reach $4,000 per ounce [3]. Central Bank Purchases - Central banks are expected to exert upward pressure on gold prices through continued purchases, with a significant amount of gold needed to reach optimal portfolio allocations [2][12]. - The report notes that central banks with less than 30% of their reserves in gold will need to purchase a total of 24,665 tonnes to achieve this target, indicating a long-term demand for gold [2][21]. Company Ratings and NAV - The report indicates that net asset values (NAVs) and price objectives (POs) for North American precious metals companies have increased, with an average NAV increase of around 12% and POs up by approximately 11% [4]. - Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is highlighted as the top pick due to its strong track record and growth potential [4].
美银-上调黄金和白银长期价格 + 央行购金前景-North American Precious Metals Weekly_ BofA raised long-term gold and silver prices + central bank gold buying outlook