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永辉超市(601933):2025年中报点评:深化供应链改革,零售主业毛利率提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 29.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 21%, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 800 million yuan [2][4]. - In the second quarter alone, revenue was 12.47 billion yuan, down 23% year-on-year, with a net loss of 940 million yuan; however, after considering asset disposal gains from store closures, the net loss was reduced to 390 million yuan, a year-on-year improvement of 70 million yuan [2][4]. - The retail segment's gross margin showed improvement, with a gross margin of 19.8% in the second quarter, remaining stable year-on-year, driven by a shift towards self-operated sales in the bakery segment and a reduction in high-margin service business revenue [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 29.95 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 21% year-on-year, and a net loss of 800 million yuan [2][4]. - The second quarter revenue was 12.47 billion yuan, down 23% year-on-year, with a net loss of 940 million yuan; however, the loss was reduced to 390 million yuan after accounting for asset disposal gains [2][4]. Supply Chain and Margin Improvement - The company closed 223 stores in the first half of 2025, resulting in a total of 552 stores, which contributed to the revenue decline [9]. - The gross margin for the retail segment improved by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of self-operated sales in the bakery segment and a focus on quality retail and supply chain reform [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company launched high-quality private label products, including fresh milk at a competitive price, which achieved sales of over 1 million yuan within four days of launch [9]. - The company is actively restructuring its brand marketing system to enhance consumer reach and product differentiation [9]. Future Outlook - The company plans to raise up to 4 billion yuan through a private placement to support store renovations, logistics upgrades, and working capital [9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -0.08 yuan, 0.05 yuan, and 0.12 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a potential turnaround [9].