燃料油早报-20250917

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - This week, the cracking spread of Singapore 380cst high - sulfur fuel oil fluctuated, the near - month spread oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread fluctuated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near - month domestic and foreign spreads of FU intensified due to delivery factors. The low - sulfur cracking spread weakened rapidly, the month - to - month spread weakened at an accelerated pace, the domestic and foreign spreads of LU compressed to $6 - 7 per ton, and the basis of MF0.5 fluctuated [3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue inventory continued to accumulate. The high - sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed the repair. The domestic high - sulfur spread rose again due to the influence of the delivery warehouse, and the short - term domestic and foreign spread was repaired. This week, LU accelerated its decline, and the basis of the external MF0.5 was weak. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking spreads in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be concerned [4]. 3) Summary by Relevant Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 380.24 | 375.09 | 385.00 | 381.06 | 385.64 | 4.58 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 435.80 | 429.32 | 438.60 | 435.93 | 443.49 | 7.56 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 7.03 | - 6.94 | - 6.46 | - 6.95 | - 7.14 | - 0.19 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 669.77 | 654.97 | 666.83 | 671.73 | 686.03 | 14.30 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 233.97 | - 225.65 | - 228.23 | - 235.80 | - 242.54 | - 6.74 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 24.25 | 23.36 | 24.22 | 24.47 | 25.32 | 0.85 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 55.56 | 54.23 | 53.60 | 54.87 | 57.85 | 2.98 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 395.14 | 392.94 | 385.68 | 392.66 | 392.01 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 405.46 | 406.96 | 392.75 | 404.29 | 403.72 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 467.01 | 464.95 | 454.67 | 466.57 | 469.70 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 87.47 | 87.81 | 86.60 | 87.42 | 87.75 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 4.47 | - 5.01 | - 5.13 | - 4.97 | - 5.19 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 180.27 | - 184.84 | - 186.17 | - 180.34 | - 179.65 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 396.90 | 392.94 | 385.11 | 392.42 | - | | FOB VLSFO | 466.00 | 463.14 | 453.23 | 468.08 | - | | 380 Basis | 0.35 | - 0.40 | - 0.75 | - 1.60 | - | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 6.5 | - | - | 7.5 | - | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 5.7 | - | - | 7.5 | - | [2] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2786 | 2802 | 2717 | 2799 | 2795 | - 4 | | FU 05 | 2741 | 2754 | 2693 | 2752 | 2751 | - 1 | | FU 09 | 2697 | 2702 | 2665 | 2702 | 2700 | - 2 | | FU 01 - 05 | 45 | 48 | 24 | 47 | 44 | - 3 | | FU 05 - 09 | 44 | 52 | 28 | 50 | 51 | 1 | | FU 09 - 01 | - 89 | - 100 | - 52 | - 97 | - 95 | 2 | [2] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3370 | 3364 | 3259 | 3349 | 3368 | 19 | | LU 05 | 3339 | 3333 | 3259 | 3325 | 3341 | 16 | | LU 09 | 3331 | 3321 | 3247 | 3321 | 3345 | 24 | | LU 01 - 05 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 3 | | LU 05 - 09 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 4 | - 4 | - 8 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 39 | - 43 | - 12 | - 28 | - 23 | 5 | [3]