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浦林成山(01809):25H1归母净利润同比下降37.4%,项目建设为公司发展奠定基础

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.61 based on a PE ratio of 4.8x for 2025 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company's net profit for the first half of 2025 decreased by 37.4% year-on-year, while revenue increased by 6.4% to approximately RMB 5.705 billion [4][14]. - Project construction is pivotal for the company's future growth, with significant projects in Shandong and Malaysia expected to enhance production capacity and revenue [2][11]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2025H1, the company achieved revenue of approximately RMB 5.705 billion, with a net profit of approximately RMB 508 million, reflecting a 37.4% decline in net profit year-on-year [4][14]. - The sales cost increased by 17.7% year-on-year to RMB 4.758 billion, driven by higher sales volume and rising costs of raw materials, labor, and shipping [4][14]. - Revenue from international distribution channels grew by 18.3% year-on-year, while domestic distribution revenue fell by 10.9% due to weak demand in the domestic market [4][14]. Profit Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.055 billion, RMB 1.158 billion, and RMB 1.275 billion, respectively [3][12]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady revenue growth trajectory, with estimated revenues of RMB 11.559 billion in 2025 and RMB 11.983 billion in 2027 [5].