广发期货《金融》日报-20250924
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2025-09-24 05:41
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present the latest data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures, such as price differences, basis, ratios, and related fundamental data, but do not explicitly state a unified core view. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - Price Differences and Percentiles: On September 24, 2025, the F and H futures-spot price differences were 35.98 and 5.49 respectively, with changes of 2.63 and 4.66 from the previous day. The IC and IM futures-spot price differences were -240.11 and -281.07, with changes of -28.19 and -21.79 [1]. - Inter - period Price Differences: There are various inter - period price differences for IF, H, IC, and IM, such as the "next month - current month" price differences and "far month - current month" price differences, with different historical percentile rankings and changes from the previous day [1]. - Cross - variety Ratios: There are multiple cross - variety ratios, like the ratios of IC/IH, IF/IH, and IM/IF, with corresponding changes and historical percentile rankings [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - Basis and IRR: On September 23, 2025, the IRR for TS basis was 1.4835, TF basis was 1.4550, T basis was 1.4427, and TL basis was 1.2299, with corresponding changes from the previous day and historical percentile rankings [2]. - Inter - period Price Differences: There are different inter - period price differences for TS, TF, T, and TL, such as "current quarter - next quarter" and "next quarter - far quarter", with historical percentile rankings and changes [2]. - Cross - variety Price Differences: Cross - variety price differences like TS - TF, TS - T, and TF - T are provided, with corresponding changes and historical percentile rankings [2]. Precious Metal Futures - Futures and Spot Prices: On September 23, 2025, the AU2512 contract closed at 855.44 yuan/gram, up 1.06% from the previous day. The AG2512 contract closed at 10349 yuan/kg, up 0.31%. The COMEX gold and silver futures also had corresponding price changes [5]. - Basis and Ratios: The basis values of gold and silver, such as "gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract" and "silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract", are provided, along with historical percentile rankings. Ratios like COMEX gold/silver and Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver are also given [5]. - Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories: Information on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, the US dollar index, and offshore RMB exchange rate is provided. Inventory data for gold and silver in domestic and foreign exchanges, as well as ETF holdings, are also presented [5]. Container Shipping Futures - Spot and Futures Prices: The SCFI (US East) and SCFI (US West) had significant price drops. The futures prices of various EC contracts also changed, with the basis of the main contract increasing significantly [9][10]. - Fundamental Data: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged. The port punctuality rate in Shanghai decreased, while the number of port calls increased. Some overseas economic indicators, such as the eurozone's composite PMI and the US manufacturing PMI, showed positive changes [9].