《金融》日报-20250925

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports mainly present the daily data of various futures, including price differences, spreads, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventories, and positions. They also show the spot prices and freight rates in related industries, aiming to help investors understand the market trends and price relationships of different futures and related products. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - Price Differences: For different stock index futures such as IF, IH, IC, and IM, the current values, changes compared to the previous day, and historical percentile data of price differences (including term - current price differences and inter - term price differences) are provided. For example, the IF term - current price difference is - 35.98, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 18.80% and a full - history percentile of 9.10% [1]. - Inter - term Spreads: The inter - term spreads (e.g., next month - current month, quarterly month - current month) of various stock index futures are reported, along with their changes and historical percentile data. For instance, the next month - current month spread of IF is - 14.80, with a change of - 1.80, a historical 1 - year percentile of 28.60%, and a full - history percentile of 24.50% [1]. - Cross - variety Ratios: Ratios between different stock index futures (e.g., CSI 500/SSE 50, CSI 1000/CSI 300) are presented, including their current values, changes, and historical percentile data. For example, the CSI 500/SSE 50 ratio is 5.4596, with a change of - 0.0130, a full - history percentile of 98.30%, and a historical 1 - year percentile of 75.20% [1]. Bond Futures - IRR and Basis: The implied repo rate (IRR) and basis data of different bond futures (such as TF, T, TL, TS) are provided, including their current values, changes compared to the previous trading day, and historical percentile data. For example, the TF basis is 1.6050, with a change of - 0.0210 and a historical percentile of 41.30% [2]. - Inter - term Spreads: The inter - term spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter, next quarter - subsequent quarter) of various bond futures are reported, along with their changes and historical percentile data. For instance, the current quarter - next quarter spread of TF is 0.1200, with a change of 0.0000 and a historical percentile of 42.40% [2]. - Cross - variety Spreads: Spreads between different bond futures (e.g., TS - TF, TS - T) are presented, including their current values, changes, and historical percentile data. For example, the TS - TF spread is - 3.2430, with a change of 0.0360 and a historical percentile of 12.70% [2]. Precious Metals - Futures and Spot Prices: The closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metal futures (AU2512, AG2512, COMEX gold, COMEX silver) and spot prices (London gold, London silver, Shanghai Gold Exchange T + D) are reported, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the AU2512 contract closed at 860.00 yuan/gram on September 24, up 4.56 yuan or 0.53% from the previous day [4]. - Basis and Ratios: The basis between spot and futures prices and the ratios between different precious metals are presented, including their current values, changes, and percentage changes. For instance, the gold TD - Shanghai gold futures basis is - 3.73, up 2.13 from the previous value, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 22.40% [4]. - Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: The current values, changes, and percentage changes of relevant interest rates (10 - year US Treasury yield, 2 - year US Treasury yield) and exchange rates (US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate) are reported. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.16%, up 0.04 percentage points or 1.0% from the previous day [4]. - Inventories and Positions: The inventory data of precious metals in the Shanghai Futures Exchange (gold and silver) and the positions of ETFs are provided, including their current values, changes, and percentage changes. For example, the Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory is 60543 kilograms, up 1530 kilograms or 2.59% from the previous day [4]. Container Shipping Industry - Spot Freight Rates: The spot freight rates of different shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route (MAERSK, CMA, MSC, etc.) are reported, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the MAERSK freight rate is 1576 US dollars/FEU on September 22, up 40 US dollars or 2.60% from the previous day [6]. - Shipping Indexes: The settlement price indexes of container shipping (SCFIS for European and US - West routes, SCFI comprehensive index, etc.) are presented, including their changes and percentage changes. For instance, the SCFIS (European route) index is 1254.92 points on September 22, down 185.3 points or - 12.87% from September 15 [6]. - Futures Prices and Basis: The futures prices of container shipping (EC2602, EC2506, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are reported, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the EC2602 futures price is 1588.1 on September 24, up 52.5 or 3.42% from the previous day [6]. - Fundamental Data: The supply of global container shipping capacity, port - related indicators (port punctuality rate, port berthing situation in Shanghai), monthly export volume, and overseas economic indicators (eurozone composite PMI, EU consumer confidence index, US manufacturing PMI) are provided, including their环比 changes and percentage changes. For example, the port punctuality rate in Shanghai in August is 18.31%, down 14.27 percentage points or - 43.80% from July [6].