平安证券（香港）港股晨报-20250925

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market saw a net inflow of funds through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, totaling 484 million, with 283 million from Shanghai and 201 million from Shenzhen [1] - On the following day, the Hang Seng Index rebounded, closing at 26,518.65 points, up 1.37%, with significant contributions from tech stocks like Alibaba and SMIC [1][2] US Market Performance - The US stock market saw declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.37% and the Nasdaq down 0.33% [2] - AI-related stocks, including Oracle and Nvidia, faced pressure, while Micron Technology reported better-than-expected earnings, boosting market confidence [2] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights the continued inflow of southbound funds into Hong Kong stocks, with a cumulative net inflow of 1,132.1 billion HKD year-to-date, surpassing last year's total of 807.9 billion HKD [3] - Recommended sectors for investment include AI applications, semiconductors, industrial software, and upstream non-ferrous metals benefiting from anticipated interest rate cuts [3] - The report emphasizes the potential of companies in the "AI+" sector and state-owned enterprises with low valuations and high dividends [3] Key Company Highlights - Alibaba launched Qwen3-Max, its largest and most capable AI model, achieving industry-leading performance in various benchmarks [9] - Tencent upgraded its EdgeOne Pages platform, aiming to become a leading full-stack development platform for developers in China [9] - Li Ning Company reported a revenue of 14.817 billion HKD for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, despite a slight decline in gross margin [10] Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Index and its sub-indices showed positive performance over the past month, with the Hang Seng Technology Index up 2.5% [15] - Notable stock performances include Alibaba's 9.2% increase and Tencent's 2.0% rise over the past month [15] Economic Data - China's mobile internet user base reached 1.601 billion by the end of August, with a year-on-year increase of 31.32 million users [9] - The average mobile internet access traffic per user reached 20.87 GB in August, reflecting a 14.3% annual growth [9]