Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In H1 2025, the global stock market showed an overall upward trend despite geopolitical conflicts and US tariff policies. The A-share market presented an "N-shaped" trend, the Hong Kong stock market was stronger, and the US stock market experienced a "V-shaped" reversal. The bond market was active with significant growth in issuance, and the futures market also saw increases in trading volume and turnover. The development of China's private securities investment fund industry showed mixed trends, with a decline in the number of registered fund managers but an increase in the number and scale of private securities investment fund filings in H1 2025. In terms of performance, the stock strategy had the strongest average return in H1 2025, while the futures and derivatives strategy was more dominant in the past 3 and 5 years [4][5][6]. Summary According to the Table of Contents Chapter 1: Overview of China's Securities Investment Foundation Market Stock Market - As of the end of June 2025, the number of A-share listed companies reached 5,420, an increase of 37 from the end of 2024, and the total market value exceeded 100 trillion yuan, up 6.5% from the end of 2024, hitting a record high. The growth was mainly due to the recovery of the IPO market [12][15]. - In H1 2025, the A-share market showed an "N-shaped" trend. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.76%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.48%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.53%, and the North Exchange 50 Index soared 39.45%. The Hong Kong stock market was stronger, and the US stock market experienced a "V-shaped" reversal [16][17]. - As of the end of H1 2025, the Sci-Tech Innovation Comprehensive Index had the highest price-to-earnings ratio, and the North Exchange 50 and CSI 2000 were at historical high valuations, while the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index were at medium to low historical levels [18][19]. - In H1 2025, the A-share trading volume reached 13 trillion shares, and the turnover reached 162.65 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 37.64% and 59.9% respectively. The daily average turnover was 13,902 billion yuan, up about 61% year-on-year [20][24]. - In H1 2025, 23 out of 35 industries in the Wind secondary industry classification rose. The non-ferrous metals, enterprise services, and household products industries led the gains, while the coal, real estate, and daily consumer retail industries led the losses [32][35]. - In H1 2025, the small-cap growth style index of A-shares performed the strongest, followed by the large-cap value index. As of June 30, the margin trading balance of A-shares was 18,504.53 billion yuan, indicating the dominance of the long side [36][41]. Bond Market - In H1 2025, the total number of bond issuances in the market was 24,267, with an issuance amount of 44.6 trillion yuan. The issuance of interest rate bonds reached 16.9 trillion yuan, and short-term and medium-short-term bonds dominated the issuance [43][44]. - From March to June 2025, due to weak economic recovery momentum, the bidding interest rate of government bonds and the issuance interest rate of policy bank bonds declined [47][49]. - In H1 2025, the issuance interest rate of credit bonds showed a "first rising then falling" trend, mainly affected by liquidity tightening and policy uncertainty at the beginning of the year and then declining under the influence of loose monetary policy and improved market supply and demand [53][57]. - In H1 2025, the interbank bond market was the most active in the secondary market. Among different types of bonds, government bonds in interest rate bonds and financial bonds in credit bonds had the highest trading volumes [59][63]. - In H1 2025, the 1-year government bond yield rose 26BP to 1.34%, and the 10-year government bond yield fell 3BP to 1.65%. The yield curve showed different trends in different periods [65][66]. - In H1 2025, the Wande Short-term Pure Bond Fund Index and the Wande Medium and Long-term Pure Bond Fund Index both showed a "first falling then rising" trend, with an overall upward trend in oscillation. The short-term bond fund index had better gains and volatility than the medium and long-term pure bond fund index [67][69]. Futures Market - In H1 2025, the cumulative trading volume of the national futures market was 4.076 billion lots, and the cumulative turnover was 339.73 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 17.82% and 20.68% respectively. The precious metals sector had the highest turnover, reaching 59.57 trillion yuan, up 66.05% year-on-year [70][74]. - As of the end of H1 2025, the domestic commodity futures market's settled funds were 428.366 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%. The precious metals industry had the largest inflow of funds, while the chemical industry had the largest outflow [76][81]. - In H1 2025, the commodity futures market showed a significant differentiation trend. Precious metals and some non-ferrous metals performed strongly, while coal, coke, steel, and energy and chemical products were dragged down by weak demand [82][86]. Chapter 2: Development Status of China's Private Securities Investment Fund Industry Private Securities Investment Fund Managers - The number of registered private securities investment fund managers in China has shown a significant downward trend in recent years, from 1,605 in 2017 to 49 in 2024, mainly due to tightened regulatory policies and intensified industry competition. In H1 2025, 25 managers were registered, an increase of 4 from the same period last year [88][92]. - The number of existing private securities investment fund managers in China has shown a trend of "first increasing then decreasing," from 8,467 in 2017 to 7,761 at the end of June 2025, due to tightened regulation and intensified market competition [93][97]. - Private securities investment fund managers in China are highly concentrated in economically developed and policy-advantaged regions. The top six regions in terms of managed fund scale are Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Zhejiang (excluding Ningbo), Guangdong (excluding Shenzhen), and Ningbo, with a CR6 of 88.7% [98][100]. Private Securities Investment Funds - The number and scale of private securities investment funds filed for approval in China have shown a trend of "first increasing then decreasing" in recent years. In H1 2025, both the number and scale increased significantly compared to the same period last year, mainly due to the recovery of the market environment [101][107]. - In H1 2025, the number of private securities products filed for approval reached 5,461, a year-on-year increase of 53.6%. The stock strategy was the mainstream strategy. The number of quantitative private products filed for approval was 2,448, a year-on-year increase of 67.1%, and the quantitative long strategy in the stock strategy was the mainstream [108][112]. - The number of existing private securities investment funds in China has shown a trend of "first increasing then decreasing," while the fund scale has fluctuated. In H1 2025, the number of existing funds continued to decrease, while the scale increased with the recovery of the A-share market [113][118]. Chapter 3: Performance of China's Private Securities Investment Funds Private First-level Strategies - According to investment targets and methods, private funds can be divided into 5 first-level strategies and 17 second-level strategies. In H1 2025, the stock strategy had the strongest average return. In the past 3 and 5 years, the futures and derivatives strategy was more dominant [120][123]. Stock and Bond Strategies - In H1 2025, among private companies meeting the ranking rules of Simuwang, the average return rate of stock strategy products was 14.04%, and small and medium-sized private funds performed better. In 2024, the average return of private bond strategy products was 11.89%, and the bond enhancement strategy performed the best [125][126]. Private Second-level Strategies - In H1 2025, the stock quantitative long strategy performed the best, with an average return of 16.31%. In the past 1 year, the quantitative long strategy was still the best, and in the past 3 years, the subjective CTA and other derivatives strategies had the best returns [127].
中国私募基金白皮书
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan·2025-09-28 12:14