广发期货《金融》日报-20250929
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2025-09-29 01:56
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present the latest price differences, price changes, and historical percentile data of various futures products including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, and precious metal futures, as well as the current situation of spot prices, inventory, and positions, aiming to help investors understand the market trends and potential investment opportunities of these products [1][2][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - Price Difference: The current price difference of IF is 6.24, with a change of -25.05 compared to the previous day, and the historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles are 30.30% and 17.60% respectively. The current price difference of IC is - 160.91, with a change of 13.81, and the historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles are 2.40% and 0.20% respectively. The current price difference of IH is 76.40, with a change of 3.38, and the historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles are 2.52% and 74.10% respectively. The current price difference of IM is - 208.39, with a change of 30.00, and the historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles are 2.60% and 30.00% respectively [1]. - Inter - period Price Difference: Different inter - period price differences (such as next month - current month, quarterly month - current month, etc.) of IF, IC, IH, and IM show various changes and percentile levels [1]. - Cross - variety Ratio: Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc. are provided, along with their changes and historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - Basis: The basis of TS is 1.4131, with a change of - 0.0083 compared to the previous day, and the historical percentile since listing is 17.10%. The basis of TF is 1.3377, with a change of 0.0198, and the historical percentile since listing is 32.70%. The basis of T is 1.2219, with a change of 0.1079, and the historical percentile since listing is 42.30%. The basis of TL is 1.2939, with a change of 0.4578, and the historical percentile since listing is 37.30% [2]. - Inter - period Price Difference: Different inter - period price differences (such as current quarter - next quarter, current quarter - distant quarter, etc.) of TS, TF, T, and TL are presented, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - Cross - variety Price Difference: Cross - variety price differences such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc. are provided, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. Precious Metal Futures - Domestic Futures Closing Price: The closing price of the AU2512 contract on September 25 was 854.72 yuan/gram, with a decrease of 1.34 yuan compared to August 26, a decline of 0.16%. The closing price of the AG2512 contract on September 25 was 10411 yuan/kilogram, with a decrease of 221 yuan compared to August 26, a decline of 2.12% [4]. - Foreign Futures Closing Price: The closing price of the COMEX gold main contract on September 26 was 3789.80, with an increase of 9.30 compared to September 25, an increase of 0.25%. The closing price of the COMEX silver main contract on September 26 was 46.37 dollars/ounce, with an increase of 0.90 compared to September 25, an increase of 1.97% [4]. - Spot Price: The price of London gold on September 26 was 3758.78, with an increase of 10.38 compared to September 25, an increase of 0.28%. The price of London silver on September 26 was 46.03 dollars/ounce, with an increase of 0.90 compared to September 25, an increase of 2.00% [4]. - Other Indicators: Indicators such as gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract, COMEX gold/silver ratio, 10 - year US Treasury bond yield, and inventory and positions are also provided [4]. Container Shipping Industry - Spot Quotation: The freight rates of shipping routes from Shanghai to Europe of different shipping companies (such as MAERSK, CMA, etc.) show different changes on September 29 compared to September 28 [5]. - Container Shipping Index: The settlement price indices of SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route) decreased by 12.87% and 11.57% respectively from September 15 to September 22. The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) also showed varying degrees of decline [5]. - Futures Price and Basis: The prices of different container shipping futures contracts (such as EC2602, EC2510, etc.) showed different changes from September 25 to September 26. The basis of the main contract decreased by 186.5, a decline of 443.46% [5]. - Fundamental Data: The global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged on September 29 compared to September 28. The port punctuality rate in Shanghai decreased by 43.80% from July to August, while the port berthing situation increased by 10.97%. The monthly export amount increased by 0.06%. Overseas economic indicators such as the Eurozone's composite PMI and the US manufacturing PMI also showed certain changes [5].