建信期货纸浆日报-20250929

Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The pulp futures 01 contract decreased by 0.60%, and the price of Shandong wood pulp market remained stable. The short - term external market quotes showed mixed trends. The supply - side tightening needs to be reflected in shipments, port inventories are at a high level, and downstream paper mills still aim to reduce costs and increase efficiency. The pulp market will continue to adjust with low - level fluctuations [7][8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: The pre - settlement price of the pulp futures 01 contract was 5304 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5272 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.60% [7] - Spot Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5000 - 6600 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The quote for Shandong Silver Star was 5600 - 5620 yuan/ton [7] - External Quotes: Chile's Arauco Company announced the new September wood pulp external quotes. The price of softwood pulp Silver Star was 700 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 20 US dollars/ton from the previous month; the price of natural pulp Venus was 590 US dollars/ton, the same as the previous month; the price of hardwood pulp Star was 520 US dollars/ton, an increase of 20 US dollars/ton from the previous month [8] - Supply and Demand: In August, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 10.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp increasing by 5% and hardwood pulp increasing by 14.7%. China's total pulp imports in August were 2.653 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 7.9% and a year - on - year decrease of 5.6%. As of September 25, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 3.84% month - on - month. The downstream cultural paper market was affected by typhoon weather, with the start - up of individual production lines in South China declining, production in some downstream enterprises stagnating, and the trading in the base paper market weakening, showing a weak and volatile operation [8] 2. Industry News - On September 25, the PM71 paper machine at Shanying's Suzhou base was successfully started up. After the successful start - up of the PM72 at the same base, this was another major milestone achieved by Voith and Shanying. The dual - machine production of PM71&72 at the Suzhou base marked a key step in Shanying's layout in the high - end corrugated base paper market. In the future, both parties will focus on the directions of intelligence and sustainable development and jointly explore the high - quality growth path of the packaging paper industry [9] 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, needle - broadleaf price differences, inter - period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European major port wood pulp inventories, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][19][24][26][30]