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策略月报:指数化投资策略月报(2025 年10 月)-20251009
Jin Yuan Tong Yi Zheng Quan·2025-10-09 06:00

Group 1: Market Overview - The risk premium percentile for the CSI All Share Index is 45.07%, indicating that the market is generally in a normal return area [1][5] - The current risk premium value for the CSI 300 is 5.17%, suggesting a high return level that warrants attention [1][6] - The price-to-book ratio percentile for the CSI All Share Index is 41.77%, indicating a normal valuation state for the market [1][10] - The price-to-book ratio percentile for the Shanghai Composite Index is 22.68%, reflecting a relatively low valuation level that deserves focus [1][11] - The deviation rate for the CSI All Share Index is 18.59%, suggesting that the overall price level of the market is in a normal strong area [1][15] - The Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext 50 are in an overbought state, indicating a need for caution regarding short-term risks [1][16] Group 2: Market Style Rotation - The growth style has significantly outperformed over the past six months, suggesting a focus on growth-style targets moving forward [1][22] - The high valuation style has also shown notable outperformance in the last six months, recommending attention to high valuation style targets [1][25] - Small-cap style has continued to record negative excess returns, while large-cap style has gradually outperformed over the past three months, indicating a focus on large-cap style targets [1][27] Group 3: ETF Rotation - The report tracks the performance of a dual momentum rotation strategy for ETFs, which selects securities that show strong time-series and cross-sectional momentum [1][31] - Reference targets for the dual momentum rotation strategy include various ETFs such as the Gold Stocks ETF and Green Energy ETF [1][33] Group 4: Convertible Bond Strategy - Convertible bonds, which combine debt and equity characteristics, are highlighted as a valuable investment option, particularly for risk-averse investors [1][35] - The report focuses on the performance enhancement of equity-oriented convertible bonds, providing a list of specific convertible bonds to consider [1][38]