瑞达期货集运指数（欧线）期货日报-20251014

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Recently, multiple long and short factors are intertwined. Trade war escalation restricts transportation demand, the steady progress of the Middle - East "peace plan" improves the expectation of Red Sea resumption of navigation, and the oversupply pattern remains stable. The futures price is expected to fluctuate widely, and the shipping "peak season not prosperous" situation may continue. The current freight rate market is greatly affected by news, and the futures price is expected to fluctuate more violently. [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Data - EC2512 main contract closed at 1674.100, up 114.7; EC2602 second - main contract closed at 1464.4, up 106.4. The spread of EC2512 - EC2602 was 209.70, up 7.10; the spread of EC2512 - EC2604 was 524.10, up 60.10. The EC contract basis was - 642.30, down 111.60. The main contract's open interest was 27191, down 1580. [1] Spot Data - The latest SCFIS (European Line) was 1031.80, up 14.70; SCFIS (US West Line) was 862.48, down 14.34. The SCFI (composite index) was 1114.52, down 45.90. The container ship capacity was 1227.97 (in ten - thousand TEUs), down 0.12. The CCFI (composite index) was 1087.41, up 72.63; CCFI (European Line) was 1401.91, up 114.76. The Baltic Dry Index was 1936.00, up 208.00; the Panamax Freight Index was 1764.00, up 42.00. The average charter price of Panamax ships was 14769.00, unchanged; that of Capesize ships was 23277.00, up 1192.00. [1] Industry News - China has officially implemented a special port fee on US - related ships since today. In September, China's goods trade imports and exports reached 4.04 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8%. Exports were 2.34 trillion yuan, up 8.4%; imports were 1.7 trillion yuan, up 7.5%. China's rare - earth exports in September were 4000.3 tons, declining for the third consecutive month. Fed's Paulson supports two more 25 - basis - point interest rate cuts this year. [1] Market Analysis - On Tuesday, the container shipping index (European Line) futures prices rose significantly. The main contract EC2512 rose 7.36%, and the far - month contracts rose 4 - 8%. The latest SCFIS European Line settlement freight rate index was 1031.80, down 14.7 points from last week, a 1.4% month - on - month decline. Multiple shipping companies have raised freight rates, which is expected to drive up the futures price valuation. However, the US may increase tariffs on Asian imports, and the improvement of the Middle - East situation weakens the support for futures prices. The eurozone's economic data has fluctuated recently. [1] Key Data to Watch - China's September CPI annual rate on October 15 at 09:30; France's September CPI monthly rate final value on October 15 at 14:45; Eurozone's August industrial output monthly rate on October 15 at 17:00. [1]