油脂油料早报-20251016

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the current situation in the global oilseeds and oils market, including soybean processing, production, and trade in the US and Brazil, palm oil exports in Malaysia, and edible oil imports in India, along with price - related data [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog US Soybean Processing and Inventory - In September 2025, the US soybean processing volume reached the fourth - highest monthly level on record, with NOPA member companies processing 197.863 million bushels, a 4.2% increase from August and an 11.6% increase from September 2024. The market expected a decline to 186.34 million bushels [1] - The average daily processing volume in September was 6.595 million bushels, the second - highest on record [1] - As of September 30, NOPA member companies' soybean oil inventory dropped to a nine - month low of 1.243 billion pounds, a 0.2% decrease from the end of August but a 16.6% increase from the previous year. Analysts predicted it to drop to 1.22 billion pounds [1] - In September, the US produced 4,700,448 short tons of soybean meal and 2.352435 billion pounds of soybean oil [1] Brazil's Soybean Production and Trade - The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) estimated that Brazil's 2025 soybean production would be 165.865717 million tons, a 14.4% increase from the previous year. The planting area was estimated to be 47.696481 million hectares, a 3.6% increase from the previous month's estimate and a 0.1% increase from the previous year [1] - Industry analysts expected Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production to reach a record high of 177.6 million tons, a 3.6% increase from the previous year, mainly due to a record - high planting area. Current estimates are higher than the USDA's September report [1] - Conab data showed that Brazil's 2025/2026 soybean exports were expected to increase to 112.11 million tons, with production at 177.64 million tons, planting area at 49.1 million hectares, and a yield of 3.62 tons per hectare [1] Malaysia's Palm Oil Exports - According to ITS, Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 15, 2025, were 862,724 tons, a 16.2% increase from the same period last month [1] - AmSpec reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 15, 2025, were 781,006 tons, a 12.3% increase from the same period last month [1] India's Edible Oil Imports - In September 2025, India's palm oil imports dropped 16.3% to 829,017 tons, the lowest since May, as refineries favored cheaper soybean oil. Soybean oil imports surged 36.8% to 503,240 tons, the highest since July 2022, and sunflower oil imports increased about 6% to 272,386 tons, the highest since January [1] - The decline in palm oil imports dragged down India's total edible oil imports in September by 1% to 1.6 million tons [1] - A dealer predicted that India's palm oil imports in October might drop to about 600,000 tons, while soybean oil imports might exceed 450,000 tons [1] Price - related Data - The report provides historical data on the crushing profit of imported soybeans, import profit of various oils (soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil), spot prices of palm oil, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, and rapeseed oil, as well as basis and price spreads of protein meals and oils [1][2]