公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.13-2025.10.17):外部扰动不断,债市震荡修复-20251020
HWABAO SECURITIES·2025-10-20 10:59
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (Oct 13 - Oct 17, 2025), the bond market sentiment warmed up with yields oscillating and recovering. The stock market's decline and the central bank's loose liquidity pushed the ultra - long - end bonds to rebound and lead the market. The short - term bond market's allocation cost - performance improved, and it may continue a mild oscillating pattern [3][10]. - The continuous decline of bond yields needs further observation, affected by factors such as the "15th Five - Year Plan" policy signals from the Fourth Plenary Session, the possibility of monetary policy easing (e.g., interest rate cuts), and the results of Sino - US trade negotiations [10]. - Last week, the US Treasury yields declined. The 10 - year US Treasury yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded above 4.0% due to improved market sentiment [10]. - Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined by 1.44%. Various types of REITs generally fell, but there were new developments in the primary market [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - Domestic Bond Market: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year Treasury yield rose 5.93BP to 1.44%, the 10 - year yield dropped 1.4BP to 1.82%, and the 30 - year yield dropped 7BP to 2.20%. The short - term bond market may maintain a mild oscillating pattern, and the continuous decline of yields needs further observation [10]. - US Bond Market: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year US Treasury yield dropped 4BP to 3.56%, the 2 - year yield dropped 6BP to 3.46%, and the 10 - year yield dropped 3BP to 4.02%. The 10 - year yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded [10]. - REITs Market: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined 1.44% to 1043.46 points. There were 3 new first - issue REITs and 2 new expansion - offering REITs in the primary market [11]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On Oct 14, 2025, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund completed its fundraising, becoming the first successfully issued public REITs project in Northeast China [3][12]. 3.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week's Return | Since Inception Return | | --- | --- | --- | | Money Enhancement Index | 0.03% | 4.19% | | Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.05% | 4.32% | | Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.16% | 6.23% | | Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.06% | 3.93% | | Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.85% | 4.69% | | High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 1.00% | 6.70% | | Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index | - 2.61% | 19.80% | | QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.18% | 10.57% | | REITs Fund Preferred Index | - 2.43% | 31.01% | [4][5][13] 3.2.1 Money Enhancement Index Tracking - Money Enhancement Strategy Index: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a curve surpassing money funds. It mainly allocates money market funds and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance benchmark is the CSI Money Fund Index [14]. 3.2.2 Pure Bond Index Tracking - Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a smooth curve while controlling drawdowns. It mainly configures 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute return capabilities. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money Fund Index [18]. - Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index: Invests in medium - and long - term pure bond funds, pursues stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It selects 5 funds each period, adjusting duration and the ratio of credit bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to the market [18]. 3.2.3 Fixed - Income + Index Tracking - Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index: The equity center is 10%, with 10 funds selected each period. It focuses on funds with an equity center within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [22]. - Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index: The equity center is 20%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 15% - 25% in the past three years and recently [23]. - High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index: The equity center is 30%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 25% - 35% in the past three years and recently, focusing on bond - end stability and equity - end offensive capabilities [27]. 3.2.4 Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index - Selects bond - type funds with an average convertible bond investment proportion of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% in the past four quarters. It constructs an evaluation system from multiple dimensions and selects 5 funds to form the index [30]. 3.2.5 QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are overseas bonds. It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control according to credit and duration [32]. 3.2.6 REITs Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are mainly high - quality and stable infrastructure projects. It selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity according to the type of underlying assets [33].