TINCI(SZ:002709)2025-10-21 12:20Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 38.25, based on a 45x PE for FY26 [3][13]. Core Insights - The company anticipates a gradual recovery in the prices of electrolytes and lithium hexafluorophosphate, driven by fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices and increasing downstream demand, leading to improved supply-demand balance [2][12]. - A cooperation agreement with REPT Battero Energy has been signed, ensuring a minimum purchase of 800,000 tons of electrolyte products from the company, which is expected to positively impact financial performance from 2026 to 2030 [4][15]. - The company is progressing in solid-state battery materials, with plans to complete pilot production line construction by 2026, enhancing its production capabilities [4][15]. - The company aims to increase the usage of recycled lithium carbonate, ensuring compliance with regulations and meeting customer demands [4][15]. Financial Forecasts - The projected net profits for the company are RMB 1.140 billion, RMB 1.625 billion, and RMB 2.251 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting significant growth [3][5]. - Total revenue is expected to rise from RMB 12.518 billion in 2024 to RMB 23.927 billion by 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.2% [5][9]. - The net profit margin is projected to improve from 3.8% in 2024 to 9.3% in 2027, showcasing enhanced profitability [9].