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建信期货沥青日报-20251023
Jian Xin Qi Huo·2025-10-23 02:42

Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Asphalt Daily Report [1] - Report Date: October 23, 2025 [2] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core Views - The price of asphalt futures increased with the rebound of oil prices, and the previous strategy of going long on asphalt and short on crude oil was gradually stopped for profit. It is recommended to wait and see on a single - side position [6] - The overall rigid demand for asphalt is poor, the trading atmosphere in the spot market is light, the expected supply may decline, and the funds for small and medium - sized projects are still in a severe situation [6] Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: BU2601 opened at 3172 yuan/ton, closed at 3249 yuan/ton, with a maximum of 3249 yuan/ton, a minimum of 3157 yuan/ton, a daily increase of 2.95%, and a trading volume of 26.95 million lots. BU2512 opened at 3198 yuan/ton, closed at 3268 yuan/ton, with a maximum of 3268 yuan/ton, a minimum of 3192 yuan/ton, a daily increase of 2.51%, and a trading volume of 5.05 million lots [6] - Spot Market: The spot prices of asphalt in the Northeast, North China, and Shandong regions decreased, while those in other regions remained relatively stable. The rigid demand for asphalt was poor, and the trading atmosphere was light [6] - Supply: Liaohe Petrochemical plans to increase production, but the reduction of Jinling Petrochemical in East China and the non - resumption of asphalt production plans of some local refineries in Shandong and Henan are expected to lead to a decline in the asphalt operating rate this week [6] - Demand: The rainfall in the northern region has decreased, providing some support for rigid demand. However, the funds for small and medium - sized projects are still in a severe situation, and speculative demand is also relatively low [6] - Operation Suggestion: The previous strategy of going long on asphalt and short on crude oil was gradually stopped for profit. It is recommended to wait and see on a single - side position [6] 2. Industry News - South China Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3340 - 3550 yuan/ton, remaining stable. Although the supply of asphalt resources from Guangzhou Petrochemical and Maoming Petrochemical decreased, the social inventory of asphalt was still abundant, and some traders sold at low prices, making it difficult to push up the price [7] - East China Market: The mainstream intended price of 70 A - grade asphalt was 3410 - 3500 yuan/ton, remaining stable. The prices of futures and spot sources increased, and the price difference between social inventory and refinery truck transportation narrowed. However, the overall demand was average, and the procurement enthusiasm of industry players was weak, still putting pressure on the spot price [7] 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including South China asphalt spot price, Shandong asphalt basis, asphalt daily operating rate, Shandong asphalt comprehensive profit, asphalt cracking, asphalt social inventory, asphalt manufacturer inventory, and asphalt warehouse receipts, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [14][16][18]