永金证券晨会纪要-20251023

Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones dropping by 334 points or 0.71% due to negative news regarding potential restrictions on software-driven product exports to China [9] - The market anticipates a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points by the end of the year, with a probability of 98.7% [7] - Gold prices fell by 2.93%, hovering around $4000 [7] Company Performance - Netflix reported disappointing earnings, leading to a 10.1% drop in its stock price [9] - Tesla's third-quarter operating profit was $1.62 billion, which fell short of analyst expectations, although revenue reached a record high of $28.1 billion, up 12% year-on-year [9] - Beyond Meat's stock saw a significant fluctuation, initially rising by 1.1 times before closing down by 1.1% [9] Key Economic Data - The US initial jobless claims for the week ending October 18, 2025, are estimated at 225,000, while continuing claims are projected at 1.93 million [19] - The Eurozone consumer confidence index for October is expected to be -15 [19] Notable Stock Analysis - The report highlights strong performance from 赤子城科技 (9911), with a revenue of 3.181 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40%, and a net profit of 489 million yuan, up 117.8% [21] - 敏實集團 (425) reported a revenue of 12.287 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with net profit rising by 19.5% [21] - 曹操出行 (2643) achieved a revenue of 9.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 53.5% [21] ETF and Bond Analysis - iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP) is noted for its popularity among investors as a strategy tool to combat inflation pressures [25] - Welltower Inc. (WELL) reported a revenue of $2.55 billion for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.8%, with a strong performance in the senior housing segment [24]