《农产品》日报-20251028

Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment ratings in the provided reports. 2. Core Views Oils and Fats Industry - Palm oil may weaken in the short - term due to production growth, export slowdown, and potential inventory increase. After the MPOB report, it may gradually recover supported by production and inventory decline and the Indonesian B50 topic. Domestic Dalian palm oil futures may follow the trend of Malaysian palm oil. [1] - For soybean oil, the market is optimistic about the China - US meeting, but actual shipments need time. CBOT soybeans and soybean oil are strong in the short - term, but domestic soybean oil supply is sufficient and demand is weak, with limited upside potential. [1] Meal Industry - With the warming of China - US relations, the expectation of China purchasing US soybeans is increasing, and US soybean prices are rising. The cost of domestic soybean imports is supported, and domestic soybean meal is expected to trend stronger. [2] Livestock (Pig) Industry - The recent rebound in pig prices is due to secondary fattening. Supply and demand are in a tight game in the short - term, but there will be more supply pressure in November and December. Current arbitrage holding risk is high. [4] Corn Industry - In the corn market, the supply in the Northeast is sufficient and prices are stable, while in North China, farmers' selling enthusiasm is affected by price changes. Overall, the market is under selling pressure, and the demand side is still mainly for rigid needs. [7] Sugar Industry - Brazil's gasoline price cut dashed the expectation of a lower sugar - making ratio, and the global sugar supply outlook is loose. Domestic sugar prices are relatively low and have limited downward momentum. [11] Cotton Industry - The downstream textile enterprises' profits and cash flow have improved, and the rigid demand for cotton raw materials is resilient. New cotton costs have increased, but there is also hedging pressure, and short - term cotton prices may fluctuate within a range. [12] Egg Industry - The supply of eggs is sufficient. Demand may first increase and then decrease this week. Egg prices may rise slightly first and then decline due to the strong supply and weak demand situation. [15] 3. Summary by Categories Oils and Fats Industry - Soybean Oil: On October 27, the spot price in Jiangsu was 8480 yuan, up 30 yuan (0.36%) from October 24. The futures price of Y2601 was 8234 yuan, up 40 yuan (0.49%). The basis of Y2601 was 246 yuan, down 10 yuan (-3.91%). [1] - Palm Oil: On October 27, the spot price in Guangdong was 9030 yuan, up 30 yuan (0.33%). The futures price of P2601 was 9100 yuan, down 22 yuan (-0.24%). The basis of P2601 was - 70 yuan, up 52 yuan (42.62%). [1] - Rapeseed Oil: On October 27, the spot price in Jiangsu was 10050 yuan, up 20 yuan (0.50%). The futures price of OI601 was 9748 yuan, down 13 yuan (-0.13%). The basis of OI601 was 302 yuan, up 63 yuan (26.36%). [1] Meal Industry - Soybean Meal: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2960 yuan, unchanged. The futures price of M2601 was 2932 yuan, down 1 yuan (-0.03%). The basis of M2601 was 28 yuan, up 1 yuan (3.70%). [2] - Rapeseed Meal: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2410 yuan, down 10 yuan (-0.41%). The futures price of RM2601 was 2335 yuan, up 10 yuan (0.43%). The basis of RM2601 was 75 yuan, down 20 yuan (-21.05%). [2] Livestock (Pig) Industry - Futures: The price of the main contract basis was 120, up 345 (153.33%). The price of the live - hog 2511 contract was 12065 yuan/ton, up 575 yuan (5.00%), and the 2601 contract was 12330 yuan/ton, up 155 yuan (1.27%). [4] - Spot: The spot price in Henan was 12450 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan; in Shandong, it was 12400 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan. [4] Corn Industry - Corn: The price of the corn 2601 contract was 2112 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan (-0.98%). The basis was 28 yuan, up 1 yuan (3.70%). [7] - Corn Starch: The price of the corn starch 2601 contract was 2425 yuan/ton, down 16 yuan (-0.66%). The basis was 85 yuan, up 16 yuan (23.19%). [7] Sugar Industry - Futures: The price of the sugar 2601 contract was 5445 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan (-0.02%); the 2605 contract was 5399 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan (0.02%). [11] - Spot: The spot price in Nanning was 5750 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Kunming, it was 5725 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan (-0.09%). [11] Cotton Industry - Futures: The price of the cotton 2605 contract was 13575 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan (0.26%); the 2601 contract was 13565 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan (0.18%). [12] - Spot: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B was 14690 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan (0.23%); the CC Index of 3128B was 14833 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan (0.20%). [12] Egg Industry - Futures: The price of the egg 11 contract was 2918 yuan/500KG, up 42 yuan (1.46%); the 01 contract was 3327 yuan/500KG, up 25 yuan (0.76%). [15] - Spot: The egg - producing area price was 3.02 yuan/jin, up 0.03 yuan (1.08%); the egg - chicken price was 2.65 yuan/feather, up 0.05 yuan (1.92%). [15]