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《金融》日报-20251030
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2025-10-30 01:59
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - There is no explicit core view presented in the reports. The reports mainly present various data related to different financial products such as stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures (IF, IH, IC, IM) - IF: The current - spot price difference is -15.24, with a change of 7.14 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 45.00% and 29.10% respectively. Different inter - period spreads show various values and changes, e.g., the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts is -10.80, with a change of 2.00 [1]. - IH: The current - spot price difference is 1.78, with a change of 0.60 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 66.30% and 66.90% respectively. Inter - period spreads also have their own values and changes, like the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts is -0.80, with a change of -1.20 [1]. - IC: The current - spot price difference is -90.97, with a change of 19.06 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 24.50% and 4.50% respectively. Inter - period spreads show significant variations, for example, the spread between the January and current - month contracts is -401.60, with a change of -0.80 [1]. - IM: The current - spot price difference is -122.72, with a change of 20.90 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 85.00% and 13.70% respectively. Inter - period spreads have specific values and changes, such as the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts is -73.20, with a change of 1.20 [1]. - Cross - variety Ratios: Ratios like CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 300, CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 50, and others are provided, along with their changes and percentiles. For example, the ratio of CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 50 is 2.4423, with a change of 0.0358, and the historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 94.20% and 75.20% respectively [1]. Treasury Bond Futures (TS, TF, T, TL) - Basis: TS basis is 1.9462, with a change of -0.0759, and the percentile since listing is 52.30%. TF basis is 1.9288, with a change of -0.0031, and the percentile is 56.20%. T basis is 2.0877, with a change of -0.0425, and the percentile is 71.40%. TL basis is 2.2535, with a change of 0.0762, and the percentile is 80.90% [3]. - Inter - period Spreads: Different inter - period spreads for each type of treasury bond futures are presented. For example, for TS, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is 0.0860, with no change from the previous day, and the percentile is 43.20% [3]. - Cross - variety Spreads: Spreads between different types of treasury bond futures are given. For example, the spread between TS and TF is -3.4940, with a change of -0.0650, and the percentile is 8.70% [3]. Precious Metals (Gold and Silver) - Futures Prices: Domestic AU2512 contract closed at 910.88 on October 29, up 1.05% from the previous day. AG2512 contract closed at 11338, up 2.62%. In the foreign market, COMEX gold closed at 3941.70, down 0.67%, and COMEX silver closed at 47.28, up 0.29% [5]. - Spot Prices: London gold was at 3929.66, down 0.56%, and London silver was at 47.49, up 0.98%. Shanghai Gold TD was at 912.42, up 1.75%, and Shanghai Silver TD was at 11351, up 3.23% [5]. - Basis and Ratios: Basis values and their changes, as well as ratios like COMEX gold/silver and Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver, are provided. For example, the basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold futures is 1.54, with a change of 6.23, and the historical 1 - year percentile is 98.70% [5]. - Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories: Interest rates of US Treasury bonds, exchange rates, and inventories of precious metals in different exchanges and ETF holdings are presented. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury bond yield is 4.08%, up 2.3% from the previous day [5]. Container Shipping - Spot Quotes: Spot quotes for shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different companies are provided. For example, MAERSK's price is 2445 dollars/FEU, up 2.09% from the previous day, while CMA CGM's price is 2788 dollars/FEU, down 4.06% [6]. - Shipping Indexes: SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 1312.71, up 15.11% from October 20. Other indexes like SCFI composite index and its sub - indexes for different routes also show their values and changes [6]. - Futures Prices and Basis: Futures prices of different contracts (EC2602, EC2604, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are provided. For example, the price of EC2602 is 1606.0, up 3.70% from the previous day, and the basis of the main contract (EC2512) is -208.6, down 23.21% [6]. - Fundamental Data: Data on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, export balances, and overseas economic indicators are presented. For example, the global container shipping capacity supply remains unchanged at 3330.07 million IFU, and the port on - time rate in Shanghai in September is 42.77%, up 133.59% from August [6].