合成橡胶早报-20251031

Report Information - Report Title: Synthetic Rubber Morning Report [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [3] - Report Date: October 31, 2025 [3] Core Views - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the synthetic rubber market, including price trends, trading volumes, and profit margins for various synthetic rubber products and related raw materials from October 1 to October 30, 2025 [4]. Summary by Category BR (Butadiene Rubber) Futures and Related Indicators - On October 30, the BR主力合约 (12) price was 10,800, with a daily increase of 5 and a weekly decrease of 320. The持仓量 was 47,385, down 4,831 daily and 19,309 weekly. The成交量 was 125,337, a daily decrease of 70,313 but a weekly increase of 24,677. The仓単数量 remained at 8,580, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 340. The虚实比 was 27.61, down 3 daily and 10 weekly [4]. - The顺丁基差 was 0, a daily decrease of 5 and a weekly increase of 20. The丁苯县差 was 450, up 45 daily and 20 weekly. The 12 - 01 spread was 25, with no daily or weekly change, while the 01 - 02 spread was -25, down 5 daily and 30 weekly. The RU - BR spread was 4,600, a daily decrease of 230 and a weekly increase of 382, and the NR - BR spread was 1,725, down 200 daily and up 340 weekly [4]. Spot Prices and Profits - Spot prices in Shandong and Chuanhua were both 10,800 and 10,700 respectively, with no daily change and weekly decreases of 300 and 250. The Qilu factory price was 11,000, unchanged daily and down 200 weekly. CFR Northeast Asia was 1,450, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 25, and CFR Southeast Asia remained at 1,700 [4]. - The现货加工利润 was 848, up 51 daily and 506 weekly. The进口利润 was -1,336, up 1 daily and down 58 weekly. The出口利润 was 2,025, down 1 daily and up 222 weekly [4]. BD (Butadiene) Spot Prices and Profits - Spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu were 7,600 and 7,575 respectively, with daily decreases of 50 and 25 and weekly decreases of 790 and 775. The Yangzi factory price was 7,900, unchanged daily and down 500 weekly. CFR China was 930, down 10 daily and 40 weekly [4]. - The碳四抽提利润 decreased from 1,787 to 911 over the period. The丁烯氧化脱氢利润 was -864 on October 30, up 70 daily and down 610 weekly. The进口利润 was -35, up 56 daily and down 428 weekly, and the出口利润 was -494, down 85 daily and 59 weekly [4]. Downstream Product Profits - The丁苯生产利润 was 1,213, unchanged daily and up 225 weekly. The ABS生产利润 was 89, up 23 daily and 168 weekly. The SBS生产利润 was 485, unchanged daily and up 410 weekly [4].