建信期货铜期货日报-20251031

Group 1: General Information - Report Title: Copper Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: October 31, 2025 [2] - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Market Performance: Shanghai copper first rose to a record high of 89,270 but then fell. After the Fed cut interest rates by 25BP and Chairman Powell hinted it might be the last cut this year, and due to the Sino - US meeting in Busan, the market's selling sentiment increased. The spot price rose 300 to 88,065, the spot discount narrowed to 55, the social inventory decreased by 0.19 tons this week, and the spot import loss was 880 with the import window closed [10]. - Strategy: The short - term market has priced in the positive news of Sino - US relations and Fed rate cuts. Considering the tight copper supply at the end of the year and the initiative of the CSPT group, investors can still buy on dips [10]. Group 3: Industry News - Anglo American's Collahuasi Mine: The mine in Chile is facing ore quality decline, which will limit next year's production. It is expected to return to normal production in 2027 with an output of about 600,000 tons [11]. - ENAMI's New Copper Smelter: ENAMI has obtained environmental approval for a new $1.7 billion copper smelter. It will process up to 850,000 tons of copper concentrate and produce up to 240,000 tons of cathode copper annually [11]