CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD·2025-11-03 08:25Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Trading Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 5% to 15% from the current price [6][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 39.86 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 7.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 3.05 billion, down 22% year-on-year [7][9]. - The third quarter saw revenue of RMB 11.7 billion, remaining flat year-on-year, but the net profit dropped by 29% to RMB 450 million, falling short of expectations [7][9]. - The company announced a cash dividend of RMB 0.25 per share [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the leisure services industry, with an A-share price of RMB 76.07 as of October 31, 2025, and a market capitalization of RMB 148.53 billion [2]. Recent Ratings - The company has seen various ratings over the past year, including "Buy" and "Trading Buy," with the most recent rating being "Trading Buy" on January 17, 2025 [3][6]. Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters decreased by 0.58 percentage points to 32.54%, while the third quarter margin remained stable at 32% [9]. - The company expects revenue to recover in the fourth quarter, driven by increased sales during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with daily sales in Hainan reaching RMB 940 million, a 5% year-on-year increase [9]. Future Projections - The report revises profit forecasts downward, expecting net profits of RMB 3.72 billion, RMB 3.89 billion, and RMB 4.27 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 1.80, RMB 1.88, and RMB 2.06 [9][11].