建信期货纸浆日报-20251107

Report Information - Report Title: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 7, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The short - term market focuses on the potential boost to the market price due to the possibly low number of old warehouse receipts after cancellation, but the rebound space is limited under the weak fundamental situation. It is recommended to try shorting at high prices [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 01: The previous settlement price was 5320 yuan/ton, the closing price was 5368 yuan/ton, a 0.90% increase [7] - Shandong wood pulp market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4870 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 5500 yuan/ton [7] - Arauco's October wood pulp offer: Softwood pulp Yinxing was 680 dollars/ton, a 20 - dollar decrease from last month; natural pulp Venus was 590 dollars/ton, unchanged from last month; hardwood pulp Mingxing was 540 dollars/ton, unchanged from last month [8] - European wood pulp in September: The inventory was 722.3 thousand tons, a 3% month - on - month increase and a 16.1% year - on - year increase; the consumption was 813.2 thousand tons, a 16.3% month - on - month increase and a 1.6% year - on - year decrease [8] - As of November 6, 2025: The weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased 2.31% month - on - month, with inventory at Qingdao Port and Tianjin Port decreasing [8] - Downstream paper products: The performance of downstream base paper remained differentiated, the demand side of the pulp market increased slowly, and the traditional peak season started late. Double - offset paper downstream printers mainly stocked up for rigid demand, and the publication bidding had not yet increased significantly, with overall market demand being weak. The cumulative year - on - year decline in the total profit of the papermaking and paper products industry continued to narrow [8] 2. Industry News - On November 3, the re - approved papermaking production line technical renovation project of Guangdong Jiefeng Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. was approved. After re - approval, the project will produce 225 thousand tons of corrugated paper and 15 thousand tons of toilet paper annually [9] 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts including import softwood pulp spot price in Shandong, pulp futures price, pulp spot - futures price difference, needle - broadleaf price difference, inter - delivery spread, warehouse receipt volume, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port wood pulp inventory, prices and price differences of coated paper, double - offset paper, white cardboard, and whiteboard paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][19][24][25][27]