农产品早报-20251112

Group 1: Report Information - Report date: November 12, 2025 [1] - Report team: Agricultural Products Team of the Research Center [1] Group 2: Corn and Starch Price Data - Corn prices in different regions (Changchun, Jinzhou, Weifang, Shekou) increased by 20, 10, 10, and 30 respectively from November 5 - 11, 2025; the base difference decreased by 3, and trade profit and import profit increased by 20 and 22 respectively [2] - Starch prices in Heilongjiang and Weifang remained unchanged, the base difference decreased by 11, and processing profit remained stable [2] Market Analysis - Short - term: Corn prices are pushed up slightly by unstable grain supply but limited by weak downstream consumption; starch prices follow raw material prices, and high inventory suppresses prices [3] - Medium - to - long - term: Corn prices may rebound after the first selling peak; starch price trends depend on downstream consumption rhythm [3] Group 3: Sugar Price Data - Sugar spot prices in Liuzhou, Nanning, and Kunming had a change of 30; the base difference increased by 25, import profit decreased by 17, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 64 from November 5 - 6, 2025 [4][5] Market Analysis - Short - term: Zhengzhou sugar is more affected by import quota management and syrup pre - mixed powder import control than the external market; domestic sugar cost is the key support [5] - Medium - to - long - term: If the global sugar market surplus intensifies, domestic sugar cost may be broken through; maintain a short - selling strategy, but the downward space is limited [5] Group 4: Cotton and Cotton Yarn Price Data - Cotton prices (3128 and imported M - grade US cotton) and related data had certain changes from November 5 - 11, 2025; the import profit of imported M - grade US cotton increased by 88 [6][17] Market Analysis - Short - to - medium - term: New cotton production is estimated to be lower; the good result of the Sino - US meeting in Busan is beneficial to textile exports, and it is suitable for long - term long positions [8] Group 5: Eggs Price Data - Egg prices in different production areas (Hebei, Liaoning, Shandong, Henan, Hubei) had small changes from November 5 - 11, 2025; the base difference increased by 82 [14] Market Analysis - Short - term: Supply pressure is relieved, and demand increases, pushing up the price center; there is no obvious over - elimination signal [14] - Medium - to - long - term: Focus on the change of elimination rhythm, which may drive prices up [14] Group 6: Apples Price Data - Apple spot prices in Shandong remained at 8000; the national inventory decreased by 70, Shandong and Shaanxi inventories decreased by 29; the base difference in different months changed [15][16] Market Analysis - Short - term: The price of new - season apples is affected by weather, and the market is volatile [16] - Medium - to - long - term: The national production may decrease, and the quality in some areas is affected by rain [16] Group 7: Pigs Price Data - Pig prices in different production areas (Henan Kaifeng, Hubei Xiangyang, Shandong Linyi, Anhui Hefei, Jiangsu Nantong) decreased slightly from November 5 - 11, 2025; the base difference increased by 100 [16] Market Analysis - Short - term: The market is in a volatile game, with farmers' price - holding mentality and insufficient demand [16] - Medium - to - long - term: The supply pressure remains, and the key is the path of capacity and inventory reduction; pay attention to various influencing factors [16]