建信期货原油日报-20251113

Report Information - Report Type: Crude Oil Daily Report [1] - Date: November 13, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The supply and demand situation has not changed significantly. OPEC+ has decided to temporarily halt production increases in Q1 2026, which is marginally positive for the supply side. However, the inventory build - up rate in Q1 2026 may reach 3 million barrels per day, and the current policy alone is difficult to reverse the oversupply. Mid - term oil prices still face continuous oversupply pressure, and short - selling is recommended in operations [7]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Market Review: WTI crude oil opened at $59.94, closed at $60.99, with a high of $61.18, a low of $59.59, a daily increase of 1.60%, and a trading volume of 16.75 million lots. Brent crude oil opened at $63.94, closed at $65.09, with a high of $65.31, a low of $63.60, a daily increase of 1.61%, and a trading volume of 30.98 million lots. SC crude oil opened at 470.8 yuan/barrel, closed at 462.2 yuan/barrel, with a high of 470.4 yuan/barrel, a low of 461.7 yuan/barrel, a daily increase of 1.52%, and a trading volume of 7.78 million lots. India has started tendering for crude oil purchases in early 2026, retaining Russian oil but requiring that the producers and terminals of the goods are not under sanctions. Lukoil's overseas assets are continuously affected by US sanctions, and the West Qurna - 2 oil field project has suffered force majeure and may withdraw from operation later [6]. - Operation Suggestion: Due to the continuous oversupply pressure on mid - term oil prices, short - selling is considered [7]. 2. Industry News - Indian Oil Corporation's tenders for early 2026 include Russian ESPO Blend and Sokol crude oil, and it also welcomes quotes for low - sulfur crude from regions such as West Africa and the US. - Despite new sanctions, Russia's oil exports in November have remained stable. - Commerzbank expects Brent crude to trade at $60 per barrel and WTI at $57 per barrel in 2026. - The IEA believes that under the current policy scenario, oil demand will not peak before 2050 [8]. 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are presented, including global high - frequency crude oil inventory, EIA crude oil inventory, US crude oil production growth rate, Dtd Brent price, WTI spot price, Oman spot price, US gasoline consumption, and US diesel consumption. Data sources include Bloomberg, EIA, Wind, and the Research and Development Department of CCBI Futures [9][11][12]