建信期货沥青日报-20251113

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Asphalt Daily Report [1] - Date: November 13, 2025 [2] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The spot market sentiment of asphalt remains cautious due to weak rigid demand The market is expected to fluctuate in the short term as oil prices lack support and asphalt's supply - demand is weak, and the basis has narrowed after the recent decline [6][7] Group 4: Market Analysis 1. Market Review and Operational Suggestions - Futures Market: BU2601 opened at 3055 yuan/ton, closed at 3063 yuan/ton, with a high of 3076 yuan/ton, a low of 3047 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.86%, and a trading volume of 18.37 million lots BU2512 opened at 3069 yuan/ton, closed at 3063 yuan/ton, with a high of 3081 yuan/ton, a low of 3050 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.86%, and a trading volume of 0.86 million lots [6] - Spot Market: Prices in Northeast, North China, South China, and Sichuan - Chongqing regions declined, while prices in Shandong rebounded slightly, and other regions remained stable The overall rigid demand for asphalt is weak, and the market sentiment is cautious [6] - Supply: Some refineries have production changes, and the asphalt plant operating rate is expected to rise slightly [7] - Demand: Demand shows regional differentiation Northeast and Northwest regions have reached the annual low in rigid demand, North China and Shandong maintain stable demand, and South China's demand is expected to be stable [7] 2. Industry News - Shandong Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70A grade asphalt is 2980 - 3620 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan/ton from the previous day The rebound of international oil prices and asphalt futures boosts the market, and the price increase may release downstream demand [8] - South China Market: The mainstream transaction price of 70A grade asphalt is 3150 - 3320 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton from the previous day The new contract price of PetroChina's asphalt is undetermined, and the market is cautious The price decline is due to the reduction of contract quotes from Jingbo Hainan's warehouse [8] 3. Data Overview - Data includes South China asphalt spot price, Shandong asphalt basis, asphalt daily operating rate, Shandong asphalt comprehensive profit, asphalt cracking, asphalt social inventory, asphalt manufacturer inventory, and asphalt warehouse receipts, with data sources from Wind and the research and development department of CCB Futures [11][13][15]