中国券商行业 - 花旗 2025 年中国会议新看点-China Brokers-What’s New from Citi 2025 China Conference

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it Core Insights - There is a sustained household allocation towards equity, with gradual relocations of household assets from property and deposits to the equity market. High net worth individuals are showing more interest in private/customized secondary market products, while general retail investors prefer industry/thematic ETFs due to lower risk appetite [2] - China brokers are experiencing a reacceleration in investment banking business, with a more accommodative regulatory stance towards equity raising for onshore companies, particularly in H-shares. A robust deal pipeline is noted, with 88 companies in the H-share IPO pipeline [3] - M&A activity is expected to be more selective and strategic, focusing on enhancing sub-segment strengths and generating synergies rather than merely increasing asset scale [4] - There is a marginal relaxation in capital raising for China brokers, with proposals for general mandates for H-shares issuance, indicating potential for new equity raising despite some brokers not seeing urgent needs for it [7] Summary by Sections Household Asset Allocation - Households are gradually shifting assets from property and deposits to equities, with a preference for passive equity index-linked products over actively managed funds due to lower risk appetite [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking business is seeing a reacceleration, particularly in H-shares, with a significant number of companies in the IPO pipeline. The focus is on industries benefiting from policy support [3] M&A Strategy - Future M&A activity is anticipated to be more strategic, with leading brokers likely to acquire mid/small-sized players rather than merging with other leading brokers due to regulatory complexities [4] Capital Raising - China brokers are observing a marginal relaxation in equity and debt raising, with potential new equity raising opportunities arising from regulatory changes [7]